The Minutes of Gavin Baker on ai progress https://minutesof.com/gavin-baker/on/ai-progress/ Everything Gavin Baker has said on ai progress: 5 verbatim quotes between December 2025 and August 2026, each with a timestamp and a link to the recording… en Sun, 30 Aug 2026 16:21:42 +0000 Baker says ARC AGI scores jumped from 8% to 95% in three months with reasoning models. https://minutesof.com/q/f8797514-b5b6-4d0b-abae-4fb180052ee7/ https://minutesof.com/q/f8797514-b5b6-4d0b-abae-4fb180052ee7/ “The reason we've had all this progress, maybe we could show like the ARC AGI slide where you had zero to eight over four years, zero to 8% intelligence, and then you went from 8% to 95% in three months when the first reasoning model came out from OpenAI.” — Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 ai progress Baker argues reasoning models saved AI from an eighteen-month progress gap during Blackwell delays. https://minutesof.com/q/de1ebc6f-3f2b-4cbb-8fe4-1efe5134aead/ https://minutesof.com/q/de1ebc6f-3f2b-4cbb-8fe4-1efe5134aead/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three.” — Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 ai progress Baker argues reasoning saved AI by enabling progress during an 18-month gap when Blackwell delays would have h https://minutesof.com/q/1bf31cf6-f2eb-44b4-a151-5c78b11a71ae/ https://minutesof.com/q/1bf31cf6-f2eb-44b4-a151-5c78b11a71ae/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three. There would have been none. Everything would have stalled.” — Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 ai progress Baker argues reasoning models saved AI by bridging an eighteen-month gap while Blackwell was delayed. https://minutesof.com/q/2126dc4a-e2be-49ce-8c28-495ab2897322/ https://minutesof.com/q/2126dc4a-e2be-49ce-8c28-495ab2897322/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three. There would have been none.” — Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 ai progress