gdp: everyone on the record — The Minutes https://minutesof.com/on/gdp/ Everyone on the record about gdp: 23 verbatim quotes from 6 people, October 2020 to August 2026, in one chronology, each with a timestamp and a link to… en Sun, 30 Aug 2026 22:32:59 +0000 John Williams: Williams forecasts GDP growth of 2 to 2.25 percent with unemployment declining to 4 percent by https://minutesof.com/q/f9750852-defc-432d-82a6-9427464672e3/ https://minutesof.com/q/f9750852-defc-432d-82a6-9427464672e3/ “With growth running modestly above my estimate of its potential rate of 2 percent, I expect the unemployment rate to edge down very gradually to 4 percent in 2028.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Looking ahead, I expect real GDP growth to be around 2 to 2-1/4 percent this year and over the https://minutesof.com/q/2cbf8d64-8bdf-4bdc-be2d-9955d918e6e2/ https://minutesof.com/q/2cbf8d64-8bdf-4bdc-be2d-9955d918e6e2/ “Looking ahead, I expect real GDP growth to be around 2 to 2-1/4 percent this year and over the next two years.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams expects real GDP growth of about 1 percent in 2025. https://minutesof.com/q/59635bdb-6a77-471d-bb42-d107064b762f/ https://minutesof.com/q/59635bdb-6a77-471d-bb42-d107064b762f/ “As a result, I expect real GDP growth this year to be about 1 percent.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams forecasts GDP growth of 2 to 2.25 percent and unemployment of 4.25 to 4.5 percent. https://minutesof.com/q/e4905a54-6578-40f6-9b0d-8051a99a58ee/ https://minutesof.com/q/e4905a54-6578-40f6-9b0d-8051a99a58ee/ “Consequently, with growth around its trend pace, I expect the unemployment rate will remain in its recent range of 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams expects real GDP growth to slow considerably to just over 1 percent this year. https://minutesof.com/q/c9e6ca7e-839e-4893-a88a-169901e07ad9/ https://minutesof.com/q/c9e6ca7e-839e-4893-a88a-169901e07ad9/ “I expect real GDP growth this year will slow considerably from last year’s pace, to just over 1 percent.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams expects GDP growth of about 2.5 percent this year driven by fiscal stimulus, financial https://minutesof.com/q/da7fd3b0-4cc6-462d-bcfe-d933dcf61ca0/ https://minutesof.com/q/da7fd3b0-4cc6-462d-bcfe-d933dcf61ca0/ “I expect real GDP to grow about 2-1/2 percent this year, supported by stimulus from fiscal policy, favorable financial conditions, and robust investments in artificial intelligence.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams expects GDP growth near 2.5 percent this year from fiscal policy, financial conditions https://minutesof.com/q/7068b41e-435d-46d8-ab91-ee08b96d80d7/ https://minutesof.com/q/7068b41e-435d-46d8-ab91-ee08b96d80d7/ “I expect real GDP growth to be close to 2-1/2 percent this year, reflecting tailwinds from fiscal policy, favorable financial conditions, and investment in AI.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams expects GDP growth of 2.5 to 2.75 percent in 2026, driven by fiscal policy and AI inve https://minutesof.com/q/dcb8888f-9f35-4b54-ad89-c8705cc141cb/ https://minutesof.com/q/dcb8888f-9f35-4b54-ad89-c8705cc141cb/ “I expect the economy to grow above trend this year, with real GDP growth between 2-1/2 and 2-3/4 percent.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams says SOMA portfolio is now $6.4 trillion or 20 percent of GDP, down from pandemic peak https://minutesof.com/q/c6e637f2-dccf-485c-98b0-3c81992b4257/ https://minutesof.com/q/c6e637f2-dccf-485c-98b0-3c81992b4257/ “Assets are now slowly growing in dollar terms, via RMPs, to maintain ample reserves and accommodate growth in the demand for Federal Reserve liabilities.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams says the balance sheet has fallen from 35 percent of GDP in early 2022 to around 22 pe https://minutesof.com/q/df7b0ab6-ace3-489b-83de-d53bbf563e37/ https://minutesof.com/q/df7b0ab6-ace3-489b-83de-d53bbf563e37/ “Our balance sheet has fallen from the equivalent of around 35 percent of GDP, in early 2022, to around 22 percent of GDP now.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams says GDP growth has been around 2 percent for the past year and a half. https://minutesof.com/q/4f141214-206b-4485-80bd-d4e9e2eadbe5/ https://minutesof.com/q/4f141214-206b-4485-80bd-d4e9e2eadbe5/ “For the past year and a half, we’ve seen solid GDP growth, at around 2 percent.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams says real GDP grew 2 percent in 2025 and expects that pace to continue this year. https://minutesof.com/q/709d08fc-70ef-48c0-a1ab-b333709d73f3/ https://minutesof.com/q/709d08fc-70ef-48c0-a1ab-b333709d73f3/ “Real GDP grew 2 percent in 2025 and is poised to maintain that pace for the rest of this year.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp John Williams: Williams says first-half GDP growth was about 1.5 percent, well below last year's 2.5 percent p https://minutesof.com/q/c99d1bc3-9b79-4e84-9d14-7aaac39bd9ae/ https://minutesof.com/q/c99d1bc3-9b79-4e84-9d14-7aaac39bd9ae/ “Looking through the downs and ups in the data, growth in the first half of the year was about 1-1/2 percent, well below last year’s 2-1/2 percent pace.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches gdp Scott Bessent: Bessent says 2025 showed fiscal consolidation at 5.7% of GDP, with tariff refunds temporarily i https://minutesof.com/q/a5f55eee-c586-4640-94e0-4f0fca881564/ https://minutesof.com/q/a5f55eee-c586-4640-94e0-4f0fca881564/ “We actually had a fiscal consolidation for the calendar year 2025. You know, we we had we were at about 5.7% of GDP.” — Scott Bessent, CNBC Television Thu, 20 Aug 2026 15:37:26 +0000 gdp Brad Gerstner: Gerstner claims AI investment is contributing over 100 basis points to US GDP growth this year. https://minutesof.com/q/bc9b5389-5ba9-49dc-aed3-256d1972f3b4/ https://minutesof.com/q/bc9b5389-5ba9-49dc-aed3-256d1972f3b4/ “This is the single most important contributor to the GDP growth of The United States Of America this year. It's contributing over a 100 basis points of our GDP growth.” — Brad Gerstner, Altimeter Capital Mon, 06 Jul 2026 17:55:46 +0000 gdp Dylan Patel: Patel states AI infrastructure represents 25% to 75% of current US quarterly economic growth. https://minutesof.com/q/70800ca7-aaca-45bb-b128-a5925c5404e1/ https://minutesof.com/q/70800ca7-aaca-45bb-b128-a5925c5404e1/ “It's anywhere from 25% to 75 of the current quarter's economic growth. That's insane for The US.” — Dylan Patel, Chris Best Substack Fri, 31 Oct 2025 18:23:40 +0000 gdp Dylan Patel: Patel estimates AI infrastructure represents 25-75% of current US quarterly economic growth. https://minutesof.com/q/b10288ed-374e-4451-b8b7-dccdad62176a/ https://minutesof.com/q/b10288ed-374e-4451-b8b7-dccdad62176a/ “it's a substantial fraction of economic growth, depending on who you ask. It's anywhere from 25% to 75 of the current quarter's economic growth. That's insane for The US.” — Dylan Patel, Chris Best Substack Fri, 31 Oct 2025 18:23:40 +0000 gdp Brad Gerstner: Gerstner argues cutting $2 trillion in one year would create negative 7% GDP and trigger recess https://minutesof.com/q/d4826d97-af07-4934-88e0-8cb6fd3f33eb/ https://minutesof.com/q/d4826d97-af07-4934-88e0-8cb6fd3f33eb/ “The problem is every $300,000,000,000 you cut is a 1% headwind to GDP. So if you cut $2,000,000,000,000 in a single year, you have negative 7% GDP, right?” — Brad Gerstner, Bloomberg Live Thu, 05 Jun 2025 09:44:40 +0000 gdp Howard Lutnick: Lutnick claims each trillion dollars of investment brought back equals one percent of GDP grow https://minutesof.com/q/73e301eb-8603-4958-86e4-fc0a8bda97c7/ https://minutesof.com/q/73e301eb-8603-4958-86e4-fc0a8bda97c7/ “Each trillion of Donald Trump's investment that he's bringing back with these tariffs is 1% of GDP.” — Howard Lutnick, CBS Evening News Wed, 12 Mar 2025 00:26:30 +0000 gdp Brad Gerstner: Gerstner claims all human GDP growth occurred after America's founding and wealth of nations pu https://minutesof.com/q/20238ddb-9934-4ffb-8be8-5c8775fdad9a/ https://minutesof.com/q/20238ddb-9934-4ffb-8be8-5c8775fdad9a/ “So we have two thousand years, you have no GDP growth. And it all happens to magically line up with, you know, the founding of America, the wealth of nations, limited government, entrepreneurialism, etcetera.” — Brad Gerstner, Hoover Institution Tue, 10 Dec 2024 20:07:35 +0000 gdp Brad Gerstner: Gerstner says US GDP per capita is 100x Nicaragua's today versus equal 100 years ago. https://minutesof.com/q/9d6d7990-c199-4dc4-8fa5-e27d4c52bca4/ https://minutesof.com/q/9d6d7990-c199-4dc4-8fa5-e27d4c52bca4/ “The today, the GDP per capita of The United States to Nicaragua is a 100 x. Why? Right? We're living at a time where I think there's a lot of controversy about capitalism.” — Brad Gerstner, Summit Tue, 01 Oct 2024 18:01:32 +0000 gdp Brad Gerstner: Gerstner says GDP was flat for 1800 years then went parabolic after 1800. https://minutesof.com/q/721f803c-9c47-41cc-8a7d-7bf5b6a9d9cd/ https://minutesof.com/q/721f803c-9c47-41cc-8a7d-7bf5b6a9d9cd/ “Eighteen hundred years, okay? Almost zero growth in GDP. And then just after the year 1800, you have this parabolic move in global GDP.” — Brad Gerstner, Summit Tue, 01 Oct 2024 18:01:32 +0000 gdp Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove says Russia has roughly the GDP of Italy, ranking thirteenth or fourteenth glob https://minutesof.com/q/7937ac8a-f84d-4c0d-8540-d2df18939e2d/ https://minutesof.com/q/7937ac8a-f84d-4c0d-8540-d2df18939e2d/ “But bear in mind, and people are surprised when I say this, that Russia, in fact, now has more or less the GDP of Italy, somewhere around thirteenth or fourteenth in the world.” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000 gdp