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    <title>geopolitics: everyone on the record — The Minutes</title>
    <link>https://minutesof.com/on/geopolitics/</link>
    <description>Everyone on the record about geopolitics: 22 verbatim quotes from 6 people, October 2020 to May 2026, in one chronology, each with a timestamp and a link…</description>
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    <item>
      <title>John Williams: Williams identifies supply shocks, geopolitical uncertainty, AI and payments tech as shaping to</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/6fc178d5-6093-405d-a0c6-72e9c9174b67/</link>
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      <description>“Central banks today are confronting an increasingly complex environment shaped by repeated supply shocks, geopolitical uncertainty, and rapid advances in artificial intelligence and payments technologies.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches</description>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Dylan Patel: Patel notes China has a fully self-sufficient vertical semiconductor supply chain, though behind</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/11ae3627-3c03-488e-83aa-76308403a2ae/</link>
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      <description>“China has a vertical supply chain. Yes. In many cases, it&#x27;s fifteen years behind, ten years behind, in some cases, only three years behind.” — Dylan Patel, Swole as a Service</description>
      <pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 20:00:36 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Dylan Patel: Patel cites estimates of 20% economic decline if Taiwan is invaded, comparable only to world wars</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/3d3aa12b-148b-4e36-8a9c-ef47962c54bc/</link>
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      <description>“And then subsequently, that that sends the world into a depression. Right? The world has not experienced a 20 free fall since maybe, like, a one of the great wars.” — Dylan Patel, Swole as a Service</description>
      <pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2026 20:00:36 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Brad Gerstner: Gerstner warns $120 oil will hurt markets if Iran situation isn&#x27;t resolved in three to four mon</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/c877114b-169f-4fcc-a18d-357bee75fea8/</link>
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      <description>“A $120 oil will take its toll on the market if we don&#x27;t solve that over the course of the next three to four months.” — Brad Gerstner, CNBC Television</description>
      <pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2026 19:16:21 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill Gurley: I think what could happen with AI is we could build a fence around ourselves, and China could end</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/83ecd26c-a88f-4bdb-8672-337576a8c048/</link>
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      <description>“I think what could happen with AI is we could build a fence around ourselves, and China could end up serving the rest of the world.” — Bill Gurley, Tom Bilyeu</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 13:01:05 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Marc Rowan: But now as we&#x27;ve been saying, it&#x27;s only 70% of what you need to worry about. The other 30% is geop</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/e0ba339e-c084-46f7-a518-41cd4d21c712/</link>
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      <description>“But now as we&#x27;ve been saying, it&#x27;s only 70% of what you need to worry about. The other 30% is geopolitics. It&#x27;s government borrowing. It&#x27;s excesses in capital markets and it&#x27;s technological change.” — Marc Rowan, Bloomberg Live</description>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2026 17:46:05 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Marc Rowan: Rowan argues the 30% market overhang from geopolitics, inflation, and technology was foreseeable a</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/72324058-3d62-4be1-b8e1-eea403bbd812/</link>
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      <description>“I think the 30% overhang of geopolitics, inflation, technological change is now here. It was foreseeable, not maybe exactly how it occurred, but it was foreseeable. It was predictable.” — Marc Rowan, Bloomberg Television</description>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2026 17:37:35 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Marc Rowan: But now, as we&#x27;ve been saying, it&#x27;s only 70% of what you need to worry about. The other 30% is geo</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/5fc1b223-fec8-446a-96de-4bdce8555c8b/</link>
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      <description>“But now, as we&#x27;ve been saying, it&#x27;s only 70% of what you need to worry about. The other 30% is geopolitics, it&#x27;s government borrowing, it&#x27;s excesses in capital markets, and it&#x27;s technological change.” — Marc Rowan, Bloomberg Podcasts</description>
      <pubDate>Tue, 03 Mar 2026 16:46:49 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill Gurley: Gurley warns alienating trade partners could result in China serving global AI markets while Amer</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/0c8bc270-d6cb-4864-b503-8419ab63acb2/</link>
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      <description>“I think this could even happen with AI models where there&#x27;s a fence around America and China&#x27;s serving the rest of the world.” — Bill Gurley, On with Kara Swisher</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2026 15:18:55 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill Gurley: Gurley warns undiplomatic US behavior could push global partners toward China, which he observed</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/7cf16c90-29fb-4730-8e61-827c1b244cb7/</link>
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      <description>“And China is, I just spent some time there in August is hitting on many, many cylinders.” — Bill Gurley, On with Kara Swisher</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2026 15:18:55 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Bill Gurley: Gurley warns undiplomatic behavior could push global partners toward China, which he saw performi</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/955af3a7-4baa-4e57-b7f9-5b9cf593e8d5/</link>
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      <description>“if we are undiplomatic with our partners around the globe, that they will, it&#x27;ll be more easier for them to rationalize agreements with China.” — Bill Gurley, On with Kara Swisher</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2026 15:18:55 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Dylan Patel: Patel argues Western AI dominance determines whether China becomes global hegemon; without it, Ch</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/47555341-8389-4572-aed2-4d4365abcdbb/</link>
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      <description>“They have this like advantage over China, then China will not rise to be the global hegemony. But without AI, China definitely will rise to be the global hegemony.” — Dylan Patel, The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 13:30:16 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Dylan Patel: Patel frames AI competition as economic war determining whether China rises to global hegemony.</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/05c761d6-a934-4ece-905b-072e062b6646/</link>
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      <description>“at the end of the day, this is an economic war. Right? If The US and the West win in AI and control, you know, more powerful AI systems that have this feedback loop that improve economic growth and weapon systems and whatever else, right, engineering of grids and cyber attacks and all these sorts of things.” — Dylan Patel, The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 13:30:16 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Brad Gerstner: Gerstner warns Huawei went from 0% to 50% Saudi market share, arguing US must export AI technol</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/b39df35c-a461-4811-aca6-f8de41c8d66d/</link>
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      <description>“Huawei has gone from 0% market share in Saudi Arabia to 50% market share in Saudi Arabia.” — Brad Gerstner, CNBC Television</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2025 17:50:39 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Marc Rowan: Rowan worries most about damage to US brand regarding long-term agreements and security pacts from</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/21eb5079-579c-412a-825c-43ce56695712/</link>
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      <description>“The one I worry about more is the second, which is damage to The US brand. What does our brand mean when it comes to long term agreements, long term security packs?” — Marc Rowan, CNBC Television</description>
      <pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2025 13:34:06 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Brad Gerstner: Gerstner says AI has become the leading edge of sovereign battles, making TikTok&#x27;s status quo p</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/259fa1a3-a282-47b8-acd4-74c5d3051d30/</link>
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      <description>“So given that, I think it&#x27;s almost inconceivable for me now to see how TikTok US has a path forward under kind of the status quo.” — Brad Gerstner, BG2 Pod</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 21 Mar 2024 21:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
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    <item>
      <title>Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove argues most Arab state leaders lost patience with Palestinians, ending the issu</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/e607a5e5-aecd-4f29-a82b-c210d419c7a9/</link>
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      <description>“The truth about the Palestinian issue, in my opinion, is that most Arab leaders, or the leadership of most Arab states, lost patience with the Palestinians” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove argues the Palestinian issue no longer defines Middle Eastern regional politics</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/a0737d05-9d8a-40c4-a5e8-7d0ba45a994b/</link>
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      <description>“the basic fact is that the Palestinian issue is no longer being allowed to define much of the region&#x27;s politics. And this is a huge change.” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove characterizes Russia as commodity-dependent with weak industry and demographics</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/5bf37fc1-2e01-4f45-8a16-f5c713c48ba8/</link>
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      <description>“It has a very weak industrial base. It&#x27;s commodity dependent. It&#x27;s got dreadful demographics, and it&#x27;s a declining power unquestionably.” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove says Russia has roughly Italy&#x27;s GDP, ranking thirteenth or fourteenth globally,</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/c49084a1-a02b-47ff-920d-dfaacdfd12e4/</link>
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      <description>“Russia, in fact, now has more or less the GDP of Italy, somewhere around thirteenth or fourteenth in the world. And it has an aging population.” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove says Russia&#x27;s GDP roughly equals Italy&#x27;s, ranking thirteenth or fourteenth glob</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/2537d0a0-5818-4d9e-8d56-91f51dc3039a/</link>
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      <description>“Russia, in fact, now has more or less the GDP of Italy, somewhere around thirteenth or fourteenth in the world. And it has an aging population. It has a very weak industrial base.” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Sir Richard Dearlove: Dearlove says Russia has roughly the GDP of Italy, ranking thirteenth or fourteenth glob</title>
      <link>https://minutesof.com/q/7937ac8a-f84d-4c0d-8540-d2df18939e2d/</link>
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      <description>“But bear in mind, and people are surprised when I say this, that Russia, in fact, now has more or less the GDP of Italy, somewhere around thirteenth or fourteenth in the world.” — Sir Richard Dearlove, Technion UK</description>
      <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2020 19:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <category>geopolitics</category>
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