https://minutesof.com/on/productivity/ Everyone on the record about productivity: 29 verbatim quotes from 7 people, September 2022 to July 2026, in one chronology, each with a timestamp and a… en Sun, 30 Aug 2026 22:33:10 +0000 https://minutesof.com/q/ff1dbc4a-135f-478e-80e0-b055409d789c/ https://minutesof.com/q/ff1dbc4a-135f-478e-80e0-b055409d789c/ “Assuming immediate recognition, standard macroeconomic theories predict a paradoxical result: an increase in trend productivity growth drives up real interest rates and causes an economic downturn, with hours worked, investment, and output declining.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches productivity https://minutesof.com/q/ecd09b44-67b7-4494-978c-8c8fe2c0025e/ https://minutesof.com/q/ecd09b44-67b7-4494-978c-8c8fe2c0025e/ “I am confident that these investments will support strong productivity growth in coming years. But, right now, we’re in a race between available supply and surging demand.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches productivity https://minutesof.com/q/c35b7482-c673-4f88-99bf-9189ad9d4ad0/ https://minutesof.com/q/c35b7482-c673-4f88-99bf-9189ad9d4ad0/ “In each of these episodes, productivity growth averaged around 3 percent. At other times, relatively slow productivity growth of around 1-1/2 percent prevailed.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches productivity https://minutesof.com/q/a8d917de-05e8-4dfa-9e28-7be55b0b50eb/ https://minutesof.com/q/a8d917de-05e8-4dfa-9e28-7be55b0b50eb/ “Year-over-year productivity growth swings from minus 2 percent to 7 percent, compared to the long-run average of just over 2 percent ( Figure 1 ).” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches productivity https://minutesof.com/q/51f2e00e-7ee3-4707-ae15-0e1532531e40/ https://minutesof.com/q/51f2e00e-7ee3-4707-ae15-0e1532531e40/ “The productivity slowdown of the 1970s contributed to stagflation. And the productivity boom of the late 1990s and early 2000s was a contributing factor to that decade’s economic prosperity with low inflation.” — John Williams, NY Fed speeches productivity https://minutesof.com/q/c623e841-e929-4675-9635-d327738ccf6c/ https://minutesof.com/q/c623e841-e929-4675-9635-d327738ccf6c/ “And so this massively improves their productivity, despite the fact that this is all old, twenty plus year old technology.” — Dylan Patel, RAISE Summit Wed, 22 Jul 2026 16:43:49 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/2e318d61-d081-48e4-8f57-bdcdd58d0dd3/ https://minutesof.com/q/2e318d61-d081-48e4-8f57-bdcdd58d0dd3/ “And if you are the most AI productive human in your field, you're not getting fired. Like, you're you're the one they're asking all the questions of. Like, what's this capable of?” — Bill Gurley, Bill Gurley Wed, 15 Jul 2026 16:30:41 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/4cf6751a-cba8-4710-ad62-44ede9b60215/ https://minutesof.com/q/4cf6751a-cba8-4710-ad62-44ede9b60215/ “I was just at Ted and Neil Cotchill, who is one of the most famous lawyers in the world, he just argued the case where they beat the tariff in front of the Supreme Court.” — Bill Gurley, Forbes Mon, 13 Jul 2026 11:00:14 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/6f7b1cde-3481-4cd5-89a6-c38b8939b845/ https://minutesof.com/q/6f7b1cde-3481-4cd5-89a6-c38b8939b845/ “We're spending, you know, more like, you know, more than a third of the spend, you know, employee spend, a third of it is also on top of that is AI.” — Dylan Patel, WisdomTree in Europe Thu, 09 Jul 2026 06:16:39 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/a836bc2e-b869-476e-8ac8-dad40b65601e/ https://minutesof.com/q/a836bc2e-b869-476e-8ac8-dad40b65601e/ “And so the thing that could happen is we could have a productivity boom from lower priced goods and services.” — Bill Gurley, All-In Podcast Fri, 29 May 2026 22:47:49 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/db39a85b-686a-4842-8953-f7515307baa2/ https://minutesof.com/q/db39a85b-686a-4842-8953-f7515307baa2/ “It's actually insane. And so my plans of hiring and the business we win and the basis we're able to do is actually just growing.” — Dylan Patel, Matthew Berman Mon, 09 Mar 2026 17:07:47 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/b6dc472f-c88d-478d-9da1-8b2d41f9516d/ https://minutesof.com/q/b6dc472f-c88d-478d-9da1-8b2d41f9516d/ “And his daily spend now on 4.6 fast 1,000,000 context is $5,000 a day. Jeez. And I look at the productivity, it's fine. Right?” — Dylan Patel, Matthew Berman Mon, 09 Mar 2026 17:07:47 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/a2eba63d-9ceb-4f62-b7aa-b19fe5ecec2c/ https://minutesof.com/q/a2eba63d-9ceb-4f62-b7aa-b19fe5ecec2c/ “I'm just telling you what to do and it's doing these things. And his daily spend now on 4.6 fast 1,000,000 context is $5,000 a day.” — Dylan Patel, Matthew Berman Mon, 09 Mar 2026 17:07:47 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/5da5c0b1-975f-47d8-a583-ffb7c6ca3f70/ https://minutesof.com/q/5da5c0b1-975f-47d8-a583-ffb7c6ca3f70/ “one of my engineers spent like $8,000, he's Canadian, so whatever, right, on on Cloud Code. Right? And it's like, oh, shit. Right?” — Dylan Patel, Matthew Berman Mon, 09 Mar 2026 17:07:47 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/1766defe-a210-445f-8840-64bca5ff19b0/ https://minutesof.com/q/1766defe-a210-445f-8840-64bca5ff19b0/ “And obviously if you can produce The US GDP and eliminate half the entry level jobs, it could be more profitable or certainly more productive.” — Howard Marks, The Investor’s Podcast Sat, 21 Feb 2026 22:45:03 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/cd961138-5866-45b5-86d4-56a7a6f2b929/ https://minutesof.com/q/cd961138-5866-45b5-86d4-56a7a6f2b929/ “There's no doubt that the internet will produce a great increase in productivity. It's not clear that it'll have a positive impact on profitability. And I think the same is true of AI.” — Howard Marks, The Investor’s Podcast Sat, 21 Feb 2026 22:45:03 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/0de0a86e-9b0d-4009-b8a5-435a5803d499/ https://minutesof.com/q/0de0a86e-9b0d-4009-b8a5-435a5803d499/ “There's no doubt that the internet will produce a great increase in productivity. It's not clear that it'll have a positive impact on profitability.” — Howard Marks, The Investor’s Podcast Sat, 21 Feb 2026 22:45:03 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/5fa65c40-4a35-4267-9cf0-24691152754e/ https://minutesof.com/q/5fa65c40-4a35-4267-9cf0-24691152754e/ “Google has 187,000 employees, OpenAI 2,700. We're not going to be a company of 20,000 employees. He didn't say we're not going be a company of 187,000 employees, Right?” — Bill Gurley, BG2 Pod Fri, 20 Jun 2025 00:11:39 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/1985298b-35b6-47bd-9bbe-070c98fdca51/ https://minutesof.com/q/1985298b-35b6-47bd-9bbe-070c98fdca51/ “if productivity for the next decade or so was about two and a half to three and a half percent per year, we could achieve substantial reductions in this key ratio of debt to GDP.” — Brad Gerstner, BG2 Pod Fri, 20 Jun 2025 00:11:39 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/3c018e1c-398c-45e8-99ee-32ae68a84c60/ https://minutesof.com/q/3c018e1c-398c-45e8-99ee-32ae68a84c60/ “Laura asked AI to write a Python script for her, to download all the resumes from Greenhouse, scan them, score them, and give her results. She did this all in a couple of hours.” — David Friedberg, This Week in Startups Thu, 22 May 2025 16:00:06 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/67836a02-9d95-4aca-8a2b-a57fb34df90b/ https://minutesof.com/q/67836a02-9d95-4aca-8a2b-a57fb34df90b/ “This idea that Jensen can scale the business two or three times with, you know, increasing the headcount by, you know, 20 or 25%. Right?” — Brad Gerstner, BG2 Pod Sun, 13 Oct 2024 10:35:00 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/caf2c067-519d-4b3b-882b-bd255945ac81/ https://minutesof.com/q/caf2c067-519d-4b3b-882b-bd255945ac81/ “It really is astounding what we can do today that we literally couldn't do ten years ago.” — David Friedberg, Future of Agriculture Wed, 11 Sep 2024 02:49:00 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/32e41965-e71c-4cce-9c70-fcdf24710592/ https://minutesof.com/q/32e41965-e71c-4cce-9c70-fcdf24710592/ “I think the world will be surprised by how much we see acceleration and advancement in productivity in ag and food systems in the next ten years.” — David Friedberg, Future of Agriculture Wed, 11 Sep 2024 02:49:00 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/c304f051-e000-4105-9f77-a238afcbcfa2/ https://minutesof.com/q/c304f051-e000-4105-9f77-a238afcbcfa2/ “I think the world will be surprised by how much we see acceleration and advancement in productivity in ag and food systems in the next ten years.” — David Friedberg, Future of Agriculture Wed, 11 Sep 2024 02:49:00 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/c06c9a63-43ea-47cd-bd34-3d775dfa7698/ https://minutesof.com/q/c06c9a63-43ea-47cd-bd34-3d775dfa7698/ “my sense here is, you know, and I've said the AI is gonna be bigger than the Internet itself in terms of impact on economic productivity.” — Brad Gerstner, BG2 Pod Thu, 08 Feb 2024 19:35:00 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/4de657b3-fe07-4ac4-a59c-273f5d11add1/ https://minutesof.com/q/4de657b3-fe07-4ac4-a59c-273f5d11add1/ “If you think about what AI is already doing for the enterprise, we're seeing 30 to 50% productivity improvements in engineers. There's never been a technology history of technology.” — Brad Gerstner, Bloomberg Podcasts Mon, 20 Nov 2023 15:00:53 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/2d8e05c8-cbd0-48d0-8673-7920bb71b4ac/ https://minutesof.com/q/2d8e05c8-cbd0-48d0-8673-7920bb71b4ac/ “I think Amazon CodeWhisperer, so this is a cogeneration copilot Mhmm. Is reporting that they've seen 56% increase in engineering productivity” — Brad Gerstner, Joe Lonsdale Wed, 25 Oct 2023 18:32:55 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/8b7ddc79-f8cd-4053-9a16-325f010bcfed/ https://minutesof.com/q/8b7ddc79-f8cd-4053-9a16-325f010bcfed/ “it's already making the top coders seven to eight times, seven to eight times more productive than they were five months ago.” — Stanley Druckenmiller, Bloomberg Live Wed, 07 Jun 2023 15:27:20 +0000 productivity https://minutesof.com/q/e7c08ae3-8bc5-44c6-ace5-bd8ebca2d6e6/ https://minutesof.com/q/e7c08ae3-8bc5-44c6-ace5-bd8ebca2d6e6/ “our objective shouldn't be about in sustainability, shouldn't be about, hey, can we get people to consume less? It should be, can we get people to consume more?” — David Friedberg, The Julia La Roche Show Thu, 29 Sep 2022 15:21:04 +0000 productivity