reasoning: everyone on the record — The Minutes https://minutesof.com/on/reasoning/ Everyone on the record about reasoning: 11 verbatim quotes from 2 people, November 2024 to May 2026, in one chronology, each with a timestamp and a link… en Sun, 30 Aug 2026 22:33:11 +0000 Dylan Patel: Patel predicts reasoning chains will close as AI response times extend from immediate to hours or https://minutesof.com/q/44c831c5-138e-45c3-8b54-9ad0278248ff/ https://minutesof.com/q/44c831c5-138e-45c3-8b54-9ad0278248ff/ “And then as the horizon of AI models gets longer, right, rather than a question answer immediately, the question answer becomes ten minutes, hours, days, the value of all the reasoning is gone.” — Dylan Patel, Swole as a Service Wed, 13 May 2026 20:00:36 +0000 reasoning Gavin Baker: Baker argues reasoning models saved AI from an eighteen-month progress gap during Blackwell delay https://minutesof.com/q/de1ebc6f-3f2b-4cbb-8fe4-1efe5134aead/ https://minutesof.com/q/de1ebc6f-3f2b-4cbb-8fe4-1efe5134aead/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three.” — Gavin Baker, Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 reasoning Gavin Baker: Baker explains Blackwell's complexity created deployment challenges that reasoning models had to https://minutesof.com/q/c48e328c-4021-4238-a1af-b71e7630eaec/ https://minutesof.com/q/c48e328c-4021-4238-a1af-b71e7630eaec/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially” — Gavin Baker, Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 reasoning Gavin Baker: Baker argues reasoning models saved AI by bridging an eighteen-month gap while Blackwell was dela https://minutesof.com/q/2126dc4a-e2be-49ce-8c28-495ab2897322/ https://minutesof.com/q/2126dc4a-e2be-49ce-8c28-495ab2897322/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three. There would have been none.” — Gavin Baker, Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 reasoning Gavin Baker: Baker argues reasoning saved AI by enabling progress during an 18-month gap when Blackwell delays https://minutesof.com/q/1bf31cf6-f2eb-44b4-a151-5c78b11a71ae/ https://minutesof.com/q/1bf31cf6-f2eb-44b4-a151-5c78b11a71ae/ “Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three. There would have been none. Everything would have stalled.” — Gavin Baker, Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 reasoning Gavin Baker: Baker says ARC AGI scores jumped from 8% to 95% in three months with reasoning models. https://minutesof.com/q/f8797514-b5b6-4d0b-abae-4fb180052ee7/ https://minutesof.com/q/f8797514-b5b6-4d0b-abae-4fb180052ee7/ “The reason we've had all this progress, maybe we could show like the ARC AGI slide where you had zero to eight over four years, zero to 8% intelligence, and then you went from 8% to 95% in three months when the first reasoning model came out from OpenAI.” — Gavin Baker, Invest Like the Best Tue, 09 Dec 2025 15:05:00 +0000 reasoning Dylan Patel: Patel explains GPT-5 will combine massive pre-training and post-training scale for the first time https://minutesof.com/q/1ac7f4fc-3b6a-4d9e-a854-d3c4009a5164/ https://minutesof.com/q/1ac7f4fc-3b6a-4d9e-a854-d3c4009a5164/ “Along the way, another team at OpenAI made the big breakthrough of reasoning. Right? Strawberry training. And they released o one, and then they released o three.” — Dylan Patel, Alex Kantrowitz Wed, 23 Apr 2025 16:30:06 +0000 reasoning Dylan Patel: Patel illustrates that language models historically failed at basic math comparisons without reas https://minutesof.com/q/2e5f94d7-83fe-4c76-abc4-b23f582bac0a/ https://minutesof.com/q/2e5f94d7-83fe-4c76-abc4-b23f582bac0a/ “And it would say, yes. It's bigger. Even though, like, everyone knows that nine dot one one is is way smaller than nine dot nine.” — Dylan Patel, Alex Kantrowitz Wed, 23 Apr 2025 16:30:06 +0000 reasoning Gavin Baker: Baker identifies three axes of AI scaling: pretraining, inference time compute, and now reasoning https://minutesof.com/q/5f490d92-e1c8-4877-b369-6b470be69d65/ https://minutesof.com/q/5f490d92-e1c8-4877-b369-6b470be69d65/ “And then we started scaling around inference time compute. And it's very clear that we have now added a third axis of scaling performance, and that is reasoning.” — Gavin Baker, All-In Podcast Sat, 04 Jan 2025 00:23:00 +0000 reasoning Dylan Patel: Patel reveals o1's reasoning process sometimes switches between Chinese and English during hidden https://minutesof.com/q/1524c47b-e0e1-402a-b743-111da2d0e959/ https://minutesof.com/q/1524c47b-e0e1-402a-b743-111da2d0e959/ “It generates tons of things. It's like it it sometimes switches between Chinese and English. Right? Like, whatever it is. It's thinking. Right?” — Dylan Patel, BG2 Pod Mon, 23 Dec 2024 20:12:56 +0000 reasoning Dylan Patel: Patel states OpenAI's o1 reasoning model increases average sequence length because it reasons bef https://minutesof.com/q/95d406f2-b33e-4dfc-9526-6aa4bec2193d/ https://minutesof.com/q/95d406f2-b33e-4dfc-9526-6aa4bec2193d/ “This is really important because with reasoning models like OpenAI's o one, the average sequence length grows a lot.” — Dylan Patel, Scaling Intelligence Tue, 12 Nov 2024 04:17:00 +0000 reasoning