https://minutesof.com/on/scaling/ Everyone on the record about scaling: 22 verbatim quotes from 6 people, December 2012 to May 2026, in one chronology, each with a timestamp and a link to… en Sun, 30 Aug 2026 22:33:14 +0000 https://minutesof.com/q/4d5e6c49-6cb6-4dbc-ba69-76e40fb3d3ad/ https://minutesof.com/q/4d5e6c49-6cb6-4dbc-ba69-76e40fb3d3ad/ “The success at Coke Industries is built on an algorithm, your principles, and you've been able to adapt that algorithm and as a result scale your business, generate cash, reinvest that cash, generate more cash, reinvest that cash and so on. And you've scaled 9,000 X. You've built a compounding advantage in your business.” — David Friedberg, All-In Podcast Tue, 12 May 2026 21:17:30 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/dde6295c-09fa-47d0-9fb4-f6266575281d/ https://minutesof.com/q/dde6295c-09fa-47d0-9fb4-f6266575281d/ “Anthropic needs to get to well above five gigawatts by the end of this year, and it's gonna be really tough for them to get there, but it's possible.” — Dylan Patel, Dwarkesh Patel Fri, 13 Mar 2026 16:26:57 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/31d24717-9675-403b-a23d-dcc1924334ea/ https://minutesof.com/q/31d24717-9675-403b-a23d-dcc1924334ea/ “Remember, Moore's law was two times every 18, 10 times every five years, a 100 times every ten. Okay? But where are we now? A million times every ten years.” — Jensen Huang, Cisco Wed, 04 Feb 2026 04:34:47 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/fa0ed250-859f-4800-a571-4fb9a5440edb/ https://minutesof.com/q/fa0ed250-859f-4800-a571-4fb9a5440edb/ “We try to 10x the training capacity every eighteen to twenty four months. And so this would be effectively a 10x increase. 10x from what GPD five was trained with.” — Dylan Patel, Dwarkesh Patel Wed, 12 Nov 2025 17:02:10 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/ac7d417d-7577-44b2-9028-5284d3cf66b7/ https://minutesof.com/q/ac7d417d-7577-44b2-9028-5284d3cf66b7/ “ChatGPT became the verb and I would argue, maybe just So, you know, if we go to this slide right here, You know, AI is scaling way faster than the Internet did.” — Brad Gerstner, Khosla Ventures Wed, 10 Sep 2025 22:51:48 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/119203f3-2761-4bf3-a619-aaad40c2f71a/ https://minutesof.com/q/119203f3-2761-4bf3-a619-aaad40c2f71a/ “So no one is trying to make with these $10,000,000,000 data centers, they're not trying to make chat models. Right?” — Dylan Patel, Alex Kantrowitz Wed, 23 Apr 2025 16:30:06 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/675ee285-ed22-4889-b6cf-5f6b6892d5c7/ https://minutesof.com/q/675ee285-ed22-4889-b6cf-5f6b6892d5c7/ “That would not pay for all of these build outs. Right? AI is useful today, but it's not capable of doing a lot of things.” — Dylan Patel, Alex Kantrowitz Wed, 23 Apr 2025 16:30:06 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/561bd369-2c88-4ea1-8fa4-3d02389be50d/ https://minutesof.com/q/561bd369-2c88-4ea1-8fa4-3d02389be50d/ “And next generation models that are trained on hundreds of thousands or even millions GPUs, right?” — Dylan Patel, Special Competitive Studies Project Thu, 13 Mar 2025 16:42:15 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/eb6b2094-e7b7-4ac7-9761-c8cc9c5e0736/ https://minutesof.com/q/eb6b2094-e7b7-4ac7-9761-c8cc9c5e0736/ “Or or that's what it looks like based on or, you know, one gigawatt in twenty twenty six ish. And Meta's Meta's, like, trying to do, like, two gigawatts by early to mid twenty seven.” — Dylan Patel, Unsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron Tue, 21 Jan 2025 14:00:12 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/badb57b8-ea1b-45cb-887a-c8b1bba9f5d8/ https://minutesof.com/q/badb57b8-ea1b-45cb-887a-c8b1bba9f5d8/ “So you got you have five x the GPUs, and you have three x the performance per GPU roughly. So then you're at, like, 15 x more compute.” — Dylan Patel, Unsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron Tue, 21 Jan 2025 14:00:12 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/62ff4fe1-86c3-4195-b4f5-3a55efd51a21/ https://minutesof.com/q/62ff4fe1-86c3-4195-b4f5-3a55efd51a21/ “You know, I can go from 10,000,000 to 100,000,000 to billion to $10,000,000,000 on reasoning in such a quick succession.” — Bill Gurley, Bg2 Pod Mon, 23 Dec 2024 20:25:20 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/9e8745ec-5c54-4385-accb-630672e0cc36/ https://minutesof.com/q/9e8745ec-5c54-4385-accb-630672e0cc36/ “They had left that impression. And so we get to this place as you described it, it's not quite like that.” — Bill Gurley, BG2 Pod Mon, 23 Dec 2024 20:12:56 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/2b1dd77d-4b29-490c-a1f9-fd32caff427b/ https://minutesof.com/q/2b1dd77d-4b29-490c-a1f9-fd32caff427b/ “They're doing it for like multi trillion. Right? So let's call it 10,000,000,000,000 parameters, four bytes parameter, that's 40 terabytes of data you need to transmit in two seconds.” — Dylan Patel, Scaling Intelligence Tue, 12 Nov 2024 04:17:00 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/49107836-7a8a-4175-851d-c6bc483f45a1/ https://minutesof.com/q/49107836-7a8a-4175-851d-c6bc483f45a1/ “GPT four was trained with 24,000 GPUs roughly, and GPT five is on the order of a 100,000. And then they're trying to build this data center over the next few years. That's a million.” — Dylan Patel, Scaling Intelligence Tue, 12 Nov 2024 04:17:00 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/8bdd8e52-1eff-46b4-82af-03f48966482c/ https://minutesof.com/q/8bdd8e52-1eff-46b4-82af-03f48966482c/ “Everything that we've seen so far is that large scale training has to happen in an individual data center with very high speed networking.” — Dylan Patel, Latent Space Tue, 05 Dec 2023 18:16:28 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/17074139-7de1-4dd4-9c7f-5a1a0f39e4f8/ https://minutesof.com/q/17074139-7de1-4dd4-9c7f-5a1a0f39e4f8/ “Open source will match GPT-four, but then it's like, what about GPT-four Vision? Or what about five and six and all these kind of stuff?” — Dylan Patel, Latent Space Tue, 05 Dec 2023 18:16:28 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/20708ae0-c5ee-4bdc-9dd6-a71474cb6aa5/ https://minutesof.com/q/20708ae0-c5ee-4bdc-9dd6-a71474cb6aa5/ “In the seven years we ran Climate Corp, by the way, we did a study that our average data use per year increased by 40x every year for seven years.” — David Friedberg, AgFunder Mon, 02 Oct 2023 13:03:03 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/44e49c41-c433-42d3-b373-5aa3215c29a8/ https://minutesof.com/q/44e49c41-c433-42d3-b373-5aa3215c29a8/ “But the fact of the matter is because of AWS, GCP and Azure, software companies are scaling faster and in a more capital efficient way” — Brad Gerstner, Invest Like the Best Tue, 23 Jun 2020 09:30:00 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/585e22b4-452b-4998-98ed-1f84f746f495/ https://minutesof.com/q/585e22b4-452b-4998-98ed-1f84f746f495/ “All that matters is the quantity of data, and it's been very well established in multiple papers from both Google and Microsoft research that for every order of magnitude increase in the data you use to train an algorithm, the quality of the AI doubles.” — Gavin Baker, Invest Like the Best Tue, 26 Nov 2019 10:30:00 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/07becb42-0cc5-4f1f-8a17-9e9b93b04269/ https://minutesof.com/q/07becb42-0cc5-4f1f-8a17-9e9b93b04269/ “And if you took 90% of the entrepreneurs that have been to business school and understand scaling, it drives them nuts.” — Bill Gurley, Invest Like the Best Tue, 02 Jul 2019 09:30:00 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/6646e3b5-8838-46c7-bdfd-1edf67786248/ https://minutesof.com/q/6646e3b5-8838-46c7-bdfd-1edf67786248/ “I think has come out of it is that you may be able to start a company for nothing but if you want to scale a company you will need capital and you'll need expertise to scale it to the next level. Not every single player, Benioff who got it up without venture” — Bill Gurley, GigaOm Tue, 11 Dec 2012 17:49:11 +0000 scaling https://minutesof.com/q/c7010802-6090-473f-ba44-eca7f2f1e71a/ https://minutesof.com/q/c7010802-6090-473f-ba44-eca7f2f1e71a/ “And what I think has come out of it is that you may be able to start a company for nothing but if you want to scale a company you will need capital and you'll need expertise to scale it to the next level.” — Bill Gurley, GigaOm Tue, 11 Dec 2012 17:49:11 +0000 scaling