On the record about

China

10 people · 212 quotes · 19 Dec 2019 to 25 Aug 2026

Who is on this subjectordered by the date of their first quote here

3 of 10 lanes rest on fewer than 5 quotes and are marked thin. Offsets are days from the middle first-quote date, 23 Jun 2020 — a date, and nothing else. It is not a claim about who reached a view first.

The chronologysourced and dated, oldest first

    1. “So 1,000,000,000 people have been lifted out of extreme poverty in the last twenty years. Why? Because obviously India and China adopted a free market model.”

      19 Dec 2019 · Bloomberg Television · 36:07 · source · permalink
    1. David Sacks

      Sacks predicts China decoupling will become a bipartisan issue in the 2020 election.

      “Decoupling from China is gonna be a bipartisan issue now. I think both candidates now will be well, Trump is gonna is gonna run blaming China for for what happened,”

      21 May 2020 · All-In Podcast · 53:57 · source · permalink
    2. David Sacks

      Sacks argues the US should not depend on China for antibiotics, medicines, or PPE critical to survival.

      “It doesn't really make sense for us to be dependent on China for our antibiotics, for our medicines, for our PPE, for any of these products that are important for national survival.”

      21 May 2020 · All-In Podcast · 54:24 · source · permalink
    3. David Friedberg

      Friedberg says 112 million Chinese factory workers and purpose-built facilities make China hard to replace for U.S. production.

      “Factories in China are purpose built. So they're built to make a thing, and then they gotta get retooled if you wanna make another thing.”

      21 May 2020 · All-In Podcast · 59:30 · source · permalink
    4. David Friedberg

      Friedberg argues replacing China's 112 million factory workers is practically impossible given purpose-built infrastructure.

      “There's about a 112,000,000 people in China that work in factories. Factories in China are purpose built. So they're built to make a thing.”

      21 May 2020 · All-In Podcast · 59:25 · source · permalink
    5. David Friedberg

      Friedberg argues China's 112 million factory workers and purpose-built facilities make replacement extremely difficult.

      “There's about a 112,000,000 people in China that work in factories. Factories in China are purpose built. So they're built to make a thing. And then they got to get retooled.”

      21 May 2020 · All-In Podcast · 59:25 · source · permalink
    6. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove agrees with Trump's hard line on China, saying an international inquiry into the pandemic is needed.

      “But I think there's a lot about his China policy that's right, because we need an explanation from the Chinese as to what happened. We need an international inquiry.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 13:41 · source · permalink
    7. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove agrees with Trump's hard line on China, saying an international inquiry into the pandemic is needed.

      “But I think there's a lot about his China policy that's right, because we need an explanation from the Chinese as to what happened. We need an international inquiry.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 13:41 · source · permalink
    8. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove agrees with Trump's hard line on China and calls for international inquiry into pandemic origins.

      “We need an international inquiry. And yes, I do, on this issue, agree with Trump's hard line, and I think we should support it.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 13:52 · source · permalink
    9. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove criticizes George Osborne for being extremely uncritical in embracing the Chinese relationship.

      “Personally pretty fed up with George Osborne. I think he was extremely uncritical in the way that he was willing to embrace the Chinese relationship.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 14:28 · source · permalink
    10. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove predicts complete UK reassessment of China relationship after pandemic, warns against Chinese economic control.

      “I think there will be a complete reassessment of this situation for The UK and for many other countries in the aftermath of the pandemic.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 15:11 · source · permalink
    11. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says Osborne didn't understand Communist Party leadership's disregard for law and human rights from his career experience.

      “I don't think that George Osborne really understood what the leadership of a real Communist Party is like.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 15:50 · source · permalink
    12. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove reveals British Telecom signed a deal with Huawei in 2001-2002 while he was MI6 chief.

      “The problem is that British Telecom signed a deal back in 2001, 2002 actually, whilst I was chief with Huawei. And we became very much involved with this company and entangled with them.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 17:14 · source · permalink
    13. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says China embedded in UK 5G is a serious security problem given Chinese intelligence nature.

      “The fact is, if you understand the nature of Chinese leadership, Chinese intelligence, having China embedded in our five gs is a security problem, a serious one.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 18:01 · source · permalink
    14. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says China embedded in UK 5G is a serious security problem given Chinese intelligence nature.

      “The fact is, if you understand the nature of Chinese leadership, Chinese intelligence, having China embedded in our five gs is a security problem, a serious one.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 18:01 · source · permalink
    15. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove believes the pandemic started as an accident and China has not published true casualty figures.

      “Absolutely. China itself has suffered hugely and probably more than we realize because they will have not published the true figures. I do think that this started as an accident.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 26:01 · source · permalink
    16. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove believes the pandemic started as an accident and China has not published true casualty figures.

      “Absolutely. China itself has suffered hugely and probably more than we realize because they will have not published the true figures. I do think that this started as an accident.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 26:01 · source · permalink
    17. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove believes the pandemic started as an accident, not a deliberate Chinese act.

      “I do think that this started as an accident. Okay, once it started, there are things about the Chinese behavior which are completely shocking, but there was nothing deliberate about the origins of it.”

      3 Jun 2020 · The Telegraph · 26:10 · source · permalink
    18. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner notes Baidu lost 50% of value while other Chinese platforms multiplied due to WeChat and ByteDance.

      “I mean, Baidu's worth 50% less today than it was six years ago. Notwithstanding the fact that all of the big internet platforms in China are worth multiples today of what they were five years ago because you had the rise of WeChat, you had the rise of ByteDance,”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 10:47 · source · permalink
    19. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove asserts that Chinese intelligence is driving some of China's positioning in science at leading universities.

      “the Chinese have positioned themselves in crucial areas of science in all of our leading universities.”

      29 Oct 2020 · Technion UK · 15:52 · source · permalink
    20. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove notes Ant's $34 billion flotation beat Aramco, illustrating Western-Chinese economic integration.

      “two days ago, the Ant payment system, Jack Ma's company that controls massive payment system across the whole of China had a flotation and those of you who follow these things will be aware that it actually beat Aramco in terms of the value of the flotation, $34,000,000,000 was raised”

      29 Oct 2020 · Technion UK · 18:36 · source · permalink
    21. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove notes Ant's $34 billion flotation beat Aramco, illustrating Western-Chinese economic integration.

      “two days ago, the Ant payment system, Jack Ma's company that controls massive payment system across the whole of China had a flotation and those of you who follow these things will be aware that it actually beat Aramco in terms of the value of the flotation, $34,000,000,000 was raised”

      29 Oct 2020 · Technion UK · 18:36 · source · permalink
    22. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove predicts US and China will negotiate a new global security system within five years.

      “at some point in the next two, three, four, five years, I think The United States and China will sit down to work out how a new security system will, as it were, operate across the world to replace Pax Americana.”

      29 Oct 2020 · Technion UK · 19:48 · source · permalink
    23. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove predicts US and China will negotiate a new global security system within five years.

      “at some point in the next two, three, four, five years, I think The United States and China will sit down to work out how a new security system will, as it were, operate across the world to replace Pax Americana.”

      29 Oct 2020 · Technion UK · 19:48 · source · permalink
    24. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove predicts US and China will establish a new security system within five years, replacing Pax Americana.

      “So Pax Americana will become for those of you who are Latinists, Pax Americana et Sericana.”

      29 Oct 2020 · Technion UK · 20:09 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley speculates China blocks US listings to keep capital and tax revenue domestic rather than offshore.

      “I wonder I and I don't have any data to back this up, but I wonder if part of what's going on is that the Chinese government wants to make sure that though that wealth is actually kept inside of China, taxed appropriately, and then able to be regenerative in that market.”

      9 Jul 2021 · CNBC Television · 6:18 · source · permalink
    2. Bill Gurley

      Gurley speculates Chinese government wants capital from tech companies kept and taxed domestically.

      “I wonder if part of what's going on is that the Chinese government wants to make sure that though that wealth is actually kept inside of China, taxed appropriately, and then able to be regenerative in that market.”

      9 Jul 2021 · CNBC Television · 6:21 · source · permalink
    1. Dylan Patel

      Patel says ASML projects China will grow from under ten percent to thirty percent chip manufacturing market share.

      “Go from sub 10% market share in the chip industry to somewhere around 30% market share in the manufacturing industry, right?”

      4 Oct 2023 · Hidden Forces · 30:26 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues Deng Xiaoping brought 500 million people out of poverty through capitalism, more than any altruist.

      “Ding Xiaoping, who brought capitalism to China and brought 500,000,000, 500,000,000 people out of poverty.”

      25 Jan 2024 · Bg2 Pod · 1:01:45 · source · permalink
    2. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner states US nuclear deployment costs are limited by regulation, not technology, creating gap with China.

      “our cost of deploying new nuclear fission infrastructure is limited by our own regulatory framework, not by the technology.”

      4 Apr 2024 · BG2 Pod · 35:09 · source · permalink
    3. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues autocratic China has a massive advantage over the U.S. by avoiding layered regulatory constraints.

      “It's likely a massive advantage for China where a more autocratic government can just decide, okay, we're gonna start doing things a new way.”

      23 Apr 2024 · Invest Like the Best · 40:46 · source · permalink
    4. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China has massive advantage clearing regulatory decks permanently while US only grants exceptions per project.

      “This is where I think China has a massive advantage. They could just clear the decks for good for every project going forward. Whereas we're now making exceptions maybe with the TSMC plant in Arizona.”

      23 Apr 2024 · Invest Like the Best · 42:40 · source · permalink
    5. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Chinese consumers show high willingness to adopt autonomous driving despite inferior technology.

      “she said she had some really lousy experiences in the cars, but she was blown away at the Chinese consumers' willingness to adopt the technology.”

      25 Jul 2024 · BG2 Pod · 1:07:07 · source · permalink
    6. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China builds nuclear plants at $2.5B per gigawatt versus $13B in the US.

      “The plants in China that are the equivalent level three fission plants right now are coming on board at 2,500,000,000 per gigawatt. Right. So 13 to 2.5.”

      9 Sep 2024 · BG2 Pod · 36:34 · source · permalink
    7. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues anti-China attitudes are misguided as China is leading in infrastructure and cost efficiency.

      “I think this anti Chinese mentality is a little nuts because if you look at low cost EVs, if you look at their subway stations, if you look at, they're leading us in many areas.”

      9 Sep 2024 · BG2 Pod · 45:21 · source · permalink
    8. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner warns low-cost power enables larger AI infrastructure, creating strategic risk if China leads nuclear.

      “Because if you are the low cost power provider in the world, right, then you're going to be able to build bigger data centers that power bigger AI clusters, etcetera.”

      9 Sep 2024 · BG2 Pod · 49:00 · source · permalink
    9. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says U.S. nuclear plants cost $13 billion per gigawatt versus China's $2.5 billion for equivalent technology.

      “We recently brought on two new plants in The U. S. Vogtle three and four in And the total cost of that was about 30,000,000,000 for 2.2 gigawatts. It turns out over $13,000,000,000 per gigawatt.”

      9 Sep 2024 · Bg2 Pod · 36:18 · source · permalink
    10. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China brings level three fission plants online at $2.5 billion per gigawatt versus $13 billion in the US.

      “The plants in China that are the equivalent level three fission plants right now are coming on board at two point five billion per gigawatt.”

      9 Sep 2024 · Bg2 Pod · 36:34 · source · permalink
    11. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues anti-China attitudes are counterproductive when China is leading in infrastructure and cost efficiency.

      “I think this anti Chinese mentality is a little nuts because if you look at low cost EVs, if you look at their subway stations, if you look at, they're leading us in many areas and we have this holier than thou attitude that America is the best and that we're the leader and we're being passed.”

      9 Sep 2024 · Bg2 Pod · 45:21 · source · permalink
    12. David Tepper

      Tepper says Chinese central banker Pan Gongcheng exceeded expectations by promising to do more and more if needed.

      “It's like, woah. Jovial saying we're gonna cut and we're gonna and we'll give you more. And he said, we'll do more and more if needed.”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:04 · source · permalink
    13. David Tepper

      Tepper emphasizes that China's commitment to do more is very strange language especially for Chinese central bankers.

      “Now the Chinese to say we'll do more and more if needed, they don't say that because it's not been healthy to say those sort of things in China.”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:13 · source · permalink
    14. David Tepper

      Tepper emphasizes that China's commitment to do more is very strange language especially for Chinese central bankers.

      “Now the Chinese to say we'll do more and more if needed, they don't say that because it's not been healthy to say those sort of things in China.”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:13 · source · permalink
    15. David Tepper

      Tepper says China is creating swap facilities to buy stocks as part of aggressive easing measures.

      “And they're gonna be they're aggressive in how they're gonna do it, and they're they're also, believe this or not, swap facilities to buy stocks.”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 2:21 · source · permalink
    16. David Tepper

      Tepper describes China lending money for stock buybacks with no downside risk for borrowers.

      “Not only encouraging it, lending you money to do it. And they're giving money like health money where you can put money out and you have no losses if you wanna do it.”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 2:38 · source · permalink
    17. David Tepper

      Tepper says if China stimulates successfully and animal spirits return, Japan will be a major beneficiary.

      “If you look what happens, if China runs and they get the economy going and you get the animal spirits going, what happens?”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 4:36 · source · permalink
    18. David Tepper

      Tepper says if China stimulates successfully and animal spirits return, Japan will be a major beneficiary.

      “If you look what happens, if China runs and they get the economy going and you get the animal spirits going, what happens?”

      26 Sep 2024 · CNBC Television · 4:36 · source · permalink
    19. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China still receives over a million NVIDIA H20 GPUs annually despite October sanctions.

      “Right? Because you have you have sanctions on how many NVIDIA GPUs you can get in. Now, they're still north of a million a year.”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 12:57 · source · permalink
    20. Dylan Patel

      Patel claims China could build a gigawatt data center in six months near the Three Gorges Dam but hasn't.

      “China could just build it in six months, I think, around the 3 Gorges Dam or many other places. Right?”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 15:06 · source · permalink
    21. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China could centralize over a million NVIDIA H20 chips into one data center if scale-pilled.

      “they can centralize the chips like crazy. Right now, oh, oh, million chips that NVIDIA shipping in q three and q four, the h twenty, let's just put them all in this one data center.”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 15:19 · source · permalink
    22. Dylan Patel

      Patel asserts chip export controls to China are working effectively despite smuggling through third countries.

      “The chip side of things is actually being controlled quite effectively, I think. Right? Like, yes, there is, like, shipping GPUs through Singapore and Malaysia and and other countries in Asia to China.”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 21:35 · source · permalink
    23. Dylan Patel

      Patel argues US export controls are counterproductive because China can now build better chips domestically than what's allowed for export.

      “They can build better chips in China, then we restrict them in terms of chips that NVIDIA or AMD or an Intel can sell to China.”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 22:44 · source · permalink
    24. Dylan Patel

      Patel claims China could match individual US labs in compute by 2025-26 through centralization alone using foreign chips.

      “China can be centralized enough to compete with each individual US lab. They could have just as many flops in '25 and '26 if they decided they were scale built. Right? Just from foreign chips”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 26:38 · source · permalink
    25. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China could build a bigger model than any US lab next year using 600,000 domestic Ascend chips.

      “You know? So so if they put them all in one cluster, they could have a bigger model than any of the labs next year.”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 27:46 · source · permalink
    26. “if they put them all in one cluster, they could have a bigger model than any of the labs next year. Right?”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 27:48 · source · permalink
    27. Dylan Patel

      Patel says SMIC's Shanghai fab has 45 to 50 high-end lithography tools enabling 60,000 wafers monthly at seven nanometer.

      “Shanghai has anywhere from 45 to 50 high end immersion lithography tools is is what's like believed by intelligence as well as like many other folks.”

      2 Oct 2024 · Dwarkesh Patel · 29:31 · source · permalink
    28. Dylan Patel

      Patel argues Western power grid supply chains have not expanded in decades unlike China, India, and Indonesia.

      “The Japanese power grid has been like this. The Korean power grid has been like Only China and India and Indonesia, their power grids have been growing really fast.”

      12 Nov 2024 · Scaling Intelligence · 30:39 · source · permalink
    29. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China graduates 35% STEM versus below 10% in US, giving them necessary advantages.

      “the number of graduates in China's university system that are STEM is 35%, and that number is below 10 in The US.”

      27 Nov 2024 · BG2 Pod · 4:09 · source · permalink
    30. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues blocking technology exports to China is not working and US needs to face reality.

      “And I don't think blocking ASML or blocking AI technology or blocking anything is working. It's just not working.”

      27 Nov 2024 · BG2 Pod · 4:28 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley calls anti-Chinese sentiment irrational given China's lead in EVs and infrastructure while America maintains false superiority.

      “I think this anti Chinese mentality is a little nuts because if you look at low cost EVs, if you look at their subway stations, if you look at, they're leading us in many areas.”

      6 Jan 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 9:05 · source · permalink
    2. Bill Gurley

      Gurley criticizes anti-Chinese sentiment, arguing China leads in EVs and infrastructure while America has holier-than-thou attitude.

      “And we have this holier than thou attitude that America is the best and that we're the leader and we're being passed.”

      6 Jan 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 9:19 · source · permalink
    3. Dylan Patel

      Patel says Malaysia will add three gigawatts of data center capacity by 2027, mostly Chinese companies claiming to be Singaporean.

      “Malaysia from 2024 to 2027, not the country itself, but companies operating there, mostly Chinese companies, many of them claiming they're now Singaporean companies. Right?”

      21 Jan 2025 · Unsupervised Learning: With Jacob Effron · 3:35 · source · permalink
    4. David Sacks

      Sacks says people would have been surprised a Chinese company released the second reasoning model after OpenAI.

      “if you had said to people a few weeks ago that the second company to release a reasoning model along the lines of o one would be a Chinese company, I think people would have been surprised by that.”

      31 Jan 2025 · All-In Podcast · 19:16 · source · permalink
    5. David Sacks

      Sacks says DeepSeek moved perceptions of China's AI lag from six-to-twelve months to three-to-six months.

      “if you had asked most people in the industry a few weeks ago how far behind is China on AI models, they would say six to twelve months.”

      31 Jan 2025 · All-In Podcast · 21:33 · source · permalink
    6. David Sacks

      Sacks argues open-sourcing makes strategic sense for DeepSeek as a Chinese company trying to catch up.

      “And so if you're if you're behind and you're trying to catch up, then open source is a strategy that actually really makes sense for you.”

      31 Jan 2025 · All-In Podcast · 48:57 · source · permalink
    7. Dylan Patel

      Patel argues export controls primarily limit AI inference deployment in China, not frontier model training capabilities.

      “A large part of export controls, if they work, is just that the amount of AI that can be run-in China is going to be much lower.”

      3 Feb 2025 · Lex Fridman · 1:02:36 · source · permalink
    8. Dylan Patel

      Patel argues export controls aim to limit AI usage scale in China, not prevent AGI development.

      “And I think that is a much easier goal to achieve than trying to debate on what AGI is.”

      3 Feb 2025 · Lex Fridman · 1:03:13 · source · permalink
    9. Bill Gurley

      Gurley cites China held 33% of global GDP in 1820 before Mao's isolation reduced it dramatically.

      “in 1820, China's economy was wide open, and they actually, had 33% of the global economy. 33% of global GDP was China.”

      5 Feb 2025 · BG2 Pod · 32:56 · source · permalink
    10. Bill Gurley

      Gurley states China's GDP share fell from 33% to 5% after Mao closed the economy.

      “at the end of Mao's reign, and Mao had raised the wall and and kind of turned China inwards, they had fallen to 5% of global GDP.”

      5 Feb 2025 · BG2 Pod · 33:14 · source · permalink
    11. Dylan Patel

      Patel reports ASML had 45% of equipment and more of revenue from China despite export controls.

      “On equipment though, last year ASML, many quarters they've had 45% of their equipment and even more of their revenue come from China.”

      13 Mar 2025 · Special Competitive Studies Project · 11:17 · source · permalink
    12. Dylan Patel

      Patel reports ASML had 45% of equipment and more of revenue from China despite export controls.

      “On equipment though, last year ASML, many quarters they've had 45% of their equipment and even more of their revenue come from China. And likewise for ASML, Lam Research and all these companies, right?”

      13 Mar 2025 · Special Competitive Studies Project · 11:17 · source · permalink
    13. Dylan Patel

      Patel challenges DeepSeek's GPU count claims, citing job ads promising tens of thousands of GPUs.

      “The estimates that we have is, so first of all, ads in China, they say they have tens of thousands of GPUs for researchers, right?”

      13 Mar 2025 · Special Competitive Studies Project · 14:14 · source · permalink
    14. Dylan Patel

      Patel reports China imported one million H20 GPUs in recent quarters, enough for largest cluster.

      “Just in Q3, Q4 and the early part of Q1 this year, they imported a million H20s, Right?”

      13 Mar 2025 · Special Competitive Studies Project · 20:18 · source · permalink
    15. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China imported one million H20 GPUs in recent quarters, enough to build largest cluster.

      “This is more than enough if they even took 30 of it, concentrated it, to be a bigger cluster than any American company has.”

      13 Mar 2025 · Special Competitive Studies Project · 20:24 · source · permalink
    16. Dylan Patel

      Patel argues the surprise was a Chinese company achieving this cost reduction, not the reduction itself.

      “I think what was really surprising was that it was a Chinese company for the first time. Right? Because Google and and OpenAI and Anthropic and Meta have all traded blows.”

      23 Apr 2025 · Alex Kantrowitz · 29:36 · source · permalink
    17. Dylan Patel

      Patel says DeepSeek's cost efficiency follows the expected trend line, just from an unexpected source.

      “It's not unexpected. Right? Like, this is actually within the trend line of what happened with GPT three is happening to GPT four level quality with DeepSeq.”

      23 Apr 2025 · Alex Kantrowitz · 30:06 · source · permalink
    18. David Friedberg

      Friedberg states US will add one terawatt by 2040 while China adds five terawatts, excluding gen four nuclear.

      “The US is forecasted to increase its electricity production capacity from one to two terawatts by twenty forty, fifteen years from now.”

      6 May 2025 · All-In Podcast · 15:13 · source · permalink
    19. David Friedberg

      Friedberg warns China is adding five Americas worth of electricity capacity, creating huge advantage in AI era.

      “So in the next fifteen years, China is adding five Americas. Yes. In electricity production capacity.”

      6 May 2025 · All-In Podcast · 15:37 · source · permalink
    20. David Friedberg

      Friedberg notes Elon needs a terawatt of compute, equivalent to total US electricity production capacity.

      “Elon this week is saying, hey, need a terawatt of compute. Terawatt is roughly the power production or the electricity production capacity of the entire United States.”

      16 May 2025 · All-In Podcast · 35:49 · source · permalink
    21. David Friedberg

      Friedberg notes US electricity capacity doubles to 2040 while China's triples from three to eight terawatts.

      “Terawatt is roughly the power production or the electricity production capacity of the entire United States. US is going from one to two between now and 2040.”

      16 May 2025 · All-In Podcast · 35:52 · source · permalink
    22. “Bingo. And I think had we continued on that path or if we go back towards that path, because I don't think this is over.”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 14:09 · source · permalink
    23. Bill Gurley

      Gurley claims many VCs have become China hawks because they need that stance to justify their military-tech investments.

      “And I will tell you after spending twenty five years in venture capital, there's just this instinctive thing.”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 18:18 · source · permalink
    24. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner recalculated tariffs from original $800 billion estimate on Liberation Day to new figure.

      “So remember, I came on here on liberation day, and I held up the list of tariffs that that that were on the poster board that Trump showed.”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 25:06 · source · permalink
    25. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner estimates NVIDIA lost track to $50 billion China business from chip export ban.

      “I think if you forecast out two or three years, they were on track to be a $50,000,000,000 business, I think in China.”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 28:49 · source · permalink
    26. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes China now has four deep-pocketed open source AI models including Baidu's upcoming release, creating competitive innovation advantage.

      “this will be the fourth deep pocket funded model in China that are all open source. And when you consider I mean, this is a competitive dynamic, right, that leads to that.”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 1:07:31 · source · permalink
    27. Bill Gurley

      Gurley clarifies Manus operates exclusively on US models, has no foundational model, and never used Chinese models like DeepSeek.

      “first of all, they've only operated on US models. They're a wrapper company. They don't have a foundational model and and they've only operated on top of US models.”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 1:11:19 · source · permalink
    28. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner reports Saudi minister said Huawei went from 0% to 40% market share, nearly winning the contract.

      “One of the ministers in Saudi Arabia said to me that Huawei had gone from 0% market share to 40% market share and they were months away from making the decision to go with the Huawei stack right? Because they can't be left behind. They have to do something.”

      5 Jun 2025 · Bloomberg Live · 10:03 · source · permalink
    29. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues NVIDIA's $40 billion China business keeps them on CUDA and export bans risk forcing Taiwan conflict.

      “It's $40,000,000,000 business NVIDIA in China to keep them on the CUDA ecosystem rather than allowing them to have a monopoly on the Huawei ecosystem.”

      5 Jun 2025 · Bloomberg Live · 11:33 · source · permalink
    30. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China ensures 500 to 1000 competitors in target industries, letting markets select winners rather than state sponsorship.

      “in these industries where they wanna succeed, they actually make sure that there are 500 competitors or a thousand competitors. And then they let the market whittle down to what the best one is.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 12:53 · source · permalink
    31. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes Chinese solid-state LiDAR costs $130 per car versus Waymo's $5,000, a result of competitive optionality.

      “And it's actually in China right now is, I think being priced at like $130 a car, this solid state MEMS LiDAR, whereas the Waymo LiDAR is like $5,000 a car.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 15:04 · source · permalink
    32. Bill Gurley

      Gurley contrasts China's 500 EV startups with only four legitimate ones in the United States.

      “in EVs where there were over 500 EV startups, 500 in The US. What has there been? Four legitimate ones?”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 16:02 · source · permalink
    33. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues Chinese government may not prioritize market cap as a win, citing BYD's recent 30% price cut.

      “the Chinese government may not consider that part of the objective function of what a win is. And in the past three weeks, we saw BYD take prices down 30%.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 21:24 · source · permalink
    34. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes 50% of AI researchers are Chinese-origin and China now leads in AI patents, questioning immigration restrictions.

      “some people say 50% of AI researchers are of Chinese origin. And I believe now the patent count in AI coming out of China is larger than The US.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 29:46 · source · permalink
    35. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner cites study showing 40-50% of top US AI researchers are Chinese.

      “I saw a study that suggested that 40 to 50% of the AI researchers in The United States, our best researchers are Chinese.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 32:49 · source · permalink
    36. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner proposes trading AI chip access to China for rare earth materials access.

      “On point three, it gets us right? If we do this trade, and I don't know that China would do this trade, but if we did this trade, then it would get us access to those rare earths right now, which is absolutely critical, and it buys us time to stand up our own rare earth supply.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 40:19 · source · permalink
    37. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner warns chip ban increases risk China moves on Taiwan given AGI timeline claims.

      “I think it dramatically increases the chances that China is forced to move on Taiwan. Right? We're out there telling everybody in the world that AI is totally existential.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 41:23 · source · permalink
    38. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes DeepSeek triggered Alibaba and Xiaomi releasing open source models, with Baidu announcing June open source release.

      “What happened in China, however, is Alibaba made Twin open source. Xiaomi has a model out now.”

      10 Jun 2025 · Invest Like the Best · 56:46 · source · permalink
    39. Bill Gurley

      Gurley predicts four deep-pocketed Chinese open-source AI models will create massive experimentation advantage over US.

      “And so that level of competition, if it leads to four deep pocketed all open products is gonna be ultra powerful.”

      10 Jun 2025 · Invest Like the Best · 57:08 · source · permalink
    40. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove states China builds more naval tonnage annually than the entire Royal Navy in fifteen to eighteen months.

      “Chinese navy is building more tonnage in a year to eighteen months each year than composes the whole of the Royal Navy. That's the speed of its expansion.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 14:41 · source · permalink
    41. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove states China's navy builds more tonnage annually than the entire Royal Navy in twelve to eighteen months.

      “Chinese navy is building more tonnage in a year to eighteen months each year than composes the whole of the Royal Navy.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 14:41 · source · permalink
    42. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove reveals intelligence community objected to BT's original China deal but was overruled by policymakers.

      “Now at the time that that deal was signed there were strong objections from people like me in the intelligence community. We were totally overruled.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 19:57 · source · permalink
    43. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove argues any Chinese corporation is ultimately controlled by the Communist Party and must obey in crisis.

      “The fact is you cannot get around the security problem that any Chinese corporation is ultimately under the control of the Chinese Communist Party. If in a crisis they are told to jump.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 21:06 · source · permalink
    44. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove asserts any Chinese corporation is ultimately under Chinese Communist Party control.

      “The fact is you cannot get around the security problem that any Chinese corporation is ultimately under the control of the Chinese Communist Party.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 21:06 · source · permalink
    45. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove warns Chinese cars have cellular modules that could be reprogrammed remotely to immobilize vehicles in a crisis.

      “Because in every Chinese car there is a cellular module which is connected to the internet of things and that car in a crisis can be reprogrammed by the manufacturer in China.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 22:11 · source · permalink
    46. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove warns Chinese cars have cellular modules that could be reprogrammed remotely to immobilize vehicles in a crisis.

      “Because in every Chinese car there is a cellular module which is connected to the internet of things and that car in a crisis can be reprogrammed by the manufacturer in China.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 22:11 · source · permalink
    47. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove warns Chinese cars can be remotely immobilized from Beijing, potentially paralyzing UK cities in crisis.

      “that car in a crisis can be reprogrammed by the manufacturer in China. And you can find your Chinese car, 40 of them, let's say around London immobilized.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 22:23 · source · permalink
    48. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove warns Chinese cars can be remotely immobilized from Beijing, potentially paralyzing UK cities in crisis.

      “that car in a crisis can be reprogrammed by the manufacturer in China. And you can find your Chinese car, 40 of them, let's say around London immobilized.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 22:23 · source · permalink
    49. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove warns China could immobilize Chinese cars remotely and bring UK cities to a halt in a crisis.

      “Chinese could bring in a crisis UK city to a grinding halt, bang, with a flick of a switch in Beijing.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 22:37 · source · permalink
    50. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says Chinese-made renewable energy equipment with cellular modules could be remotely disabled from China.

      “A lot of our renewable sources of energy are Chinese manufactured with cellular modules in them that can be reprogrammed from China. You could knock out the whole of a North Sea wind farm, bang.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 23:19 · source · permalink
    51. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says Chinese-made renewable energy equipment with cellular modules could be remotely disabled from China.

      “A lot of our renewable sources of energy are Chinese manufactured with cellular modules in them that can be reprogrammed from China. You could knock out the whole of a North Sea wind farm, bang.”

      10 Jun 2025 · One Decision · 23:19 · source · permalink
    52. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says NVIDIA had 80% China market share with developers in CUDA ecosystem, generating billions in US taxes.

      “NVIDIA has you know, it went from 80% market share in China where all the developers, second largest developer market in the world, were were developing in CUDA.”

      12 Jun 2025 · CNBC Television · 12:32 · source · permalink
    53. Dylan Patel

      Patel asserts America cannot manufacture robots and Germany/Japan are losing capabilities to China.

      “Germany and and Japan are losing a lot of their capabilities to do so slash the cost of their robots are just way, way, way higher than what China can do.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 0:02 · source · permalink
    54. Dylan Patel

      Patel states that Japan, USA, Korea, and Germany combined deploy only a third of China's robots in 2023.

      “You fast forward to 2023, and all four of these countries combined, right, are still a third of China's robot deployments.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 31:35 · source · permalink
    55. Dylan Patel

      Patel notes China was importing majority of robots as recently as 2022 from Japan and Germany.

      “even as near as twenty twenty two, the majority of China's robots were being imported. Right? Japan and Germany being the largest market share players, but also USA, Korea is also in there.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 32:18 · source · permalink
    56. Dylan Patel

      Patel notes that as recently as 2022, China imported the majority of its robots from Japan and Germany.

      “even as near as twenty twenty two, the majority of China's robots were being imported. Right? Japan and Germany being the largest market share players,”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 32:18 · source · permalink
    57. Dylan Patel

      Patel forecasts that 70% of robots deployed in China in 2025 will be domestically manufactured Chinese robots.

      “'24, it's, it's rapidly growing Chinese share. And '25 is it looks clear, like, the the market shares is, you know, gonna be 60 is gonna be, like, 70% Chinese robots for China's domestic usage.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 32:36 · source · permalink
    58. Dylan Patel

      Patel reveals that China purchased two top German robotics companies and transferred their servo and actuator production to China.

      “Two of Germany's best robotics companies were actually purchased by China, And a lot of their, servos and actuator construction was actually transferred to China.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 33:04 · source · permalink
    59. Dylan Patel

      Patel explains Chinese companies use cost-plus pricing instead of price-to-value, avoiding margin expansion despite market dominance.

      “Whereas Chinese companies are almost all cost plus. They're not price to value. They're cost plus. Right?”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 40:46 · source · permalink
    60. Dylan Patel

      Patel contrasts Western price-to-value strategy with Chinese cost-plus pricing model in manufacturing.

      “Whereas Chinese companies are almost all cost plus. They're not price to value. They're cost plus. Right? And so you've got this interesting phenomenon where,”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 40:46 · source · permalink
    61. Dylan Patel

      Patel explains Chinese manufacturers use cost-plus pricing rather than value-based pricing across industries.

      “They're not price to value. They're cost plus. Right? And so you've got this interesting phenomenon where, there are industries in China where the entire world relies on it.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 40:51 · source · permalink
    62. Dylan Patel

      Patel describes Chinese manufacturers as locked in constant cost reduction cycle rather than margin expansion.

      “there's this constant pressure cooker of continual cost reductions and engineering. It's not like, Oh, well, we make 80% margins. Our cost is low.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 41:34 · source · permalink
    63. Dylan Patel

      Patel notes many Chinese companies dominating global markets have flat or declining stock prices.

      “there's so many companies on the Hangshan, the Hangshan, which is a stock market in China, right, whose stock has literally been flat or down despite the fact that they own the global market.”

      22 Jun 2025 · Going Direct · 41:52 · source · permalink
    64. Dylan Patel

      Patel predicts China will stop open sourcing AI models once ahead and closed source will ultimately win.

      “China's open sourcing stuff only because they're behind the moment they're ahead, they will stop open sourcing stuff. And at the end of the day, closed source will win. Unfortunately, closed source will win.”

      30 Jun 2025 · Matthew Berman · 1:00:37 · source · permalink
    65. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner notes Alibaba's Qwen model has passed 400 million downloads under Apache 2.0 license.

      “Of course, that's released like these other models under the Apache 2.0 open source license, so very open, as Bill's talked about.”

      31 Jul 2025 · BG2 Pod · 5:16 · source · permalink
    66. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues seven to eight deep-pocketed Chinese open-source models can distill each other to accelerate improvement.

      “I think there may be seven or eight dig pocketed players with open models in China, they all learn from each other extremely fast.”

      31 Jul 2025 · BG2 Pod · 11:47 · source · permalink
    67. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says Mistral should be distilling Chinese models right now if they want to compete.

      “I do expect to see that. And if I'm the Mistral team, if you're not distilling on these Chinese models, I don't know what you're doing right now.”

      31 Jul 2025 · BG2 Pod · 20:13 · source · permalink
    68. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner predicts Trump will pursue the biggest-ever China deal, calling himself a deal junkie at AI summit.

      “He said at the AI summit last week, I'm a deal junkie. I like to do deals. You can't be the biggest deal maker in the world without doing a big deal with China.”

      31 Jul 2025 · BG2 Pod · 59:31 · source · permalink
    69. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner forecasts major China deal after Trump visit planned for September through November timeframe.

      “They've invited the president to China. The president has suggested he's going to go to China the first week of September, sometime between September and November.”

      31 Jul 2025 · BG2 Pod · 59:54 · source · permalink
    70. “But, like, you know, can you give them no GPUs? No. They're gonna retaliate. Like, there is a middle ground, and, like, Huawei is eventually going to have a lot of production capacity,”

      14 Aug 2025 · No Priors: AI, Machine Learning, Tech, & Startups · 40:03 · source · permalink
    71. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner believes there's over 50% probability NVIDIA can sell Blackwell chips in China, a $50 billion market.

      “China is a $50,000,000,000 market for NVIDIA unto itself. So I believe that the probability they're gonna be able to sell chips China is north of 50%.”

      28 Aug 2025 · CNBC Television · 6:07 · source · permalink
    72. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner cites Jensen Huang saying half of world's AI researchers are in China and innovating.

      “Jensen Huang reminded us recently that 50% of the world's AI researchers are in China, and they're indeed innovating and not copying.”

      28 Aug 2025 · BG2 Pod · 11:24 · source · permalink
    73. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Xiaomi factory produces thousand cars daily with 2,000 employees versus six per car in US.

      “The factory makes a thousand cars a day with 2,000 employees. It was highly automated, like really highly automated.”

      28 Aug 2025 · BG2 Pod · 17:34 · source · permalink
    74. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner notes US is only 14% of China's exports and 3% of China's GDP.

      “The US only represents about 14% of China's exports. The US only represents about 3% of China's GDP.”

      28 Aug 2025 · BG2 Pod · 22:12 · source · permalink
    75. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports BYD executive challenges claims of Chinese subsidies, says they receive nothing as public company.

      “We're we're a public company. Come show me the money I'm getting from the government. She's like, say, I'm getting nothing.”

      28 Aug 2025 · BG2 Pod · 43:05 · source · permalink
    76. Bill Gurley

      Gurley finds only four of 24 members on China committee have visited China, last time seven years ago.

      “And I think all but four have never been to China. Right. And the ones that went, it was seven years ago.”

      28 Aug 2025 · BG2 Pod · 44:39 · source · permalink
    77. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner warns believing China only wins through theft or subsidies prevents US self-improvement.

      “if we have this view that the only reason China's competitive or winning is because they're they're stealing or they're subsidized, I think what that view does is it allows us to dilute ourselves into believing we don't need to get better ourselves.”

      28 Aug 2025 · BG2 Pod · 45:30 · source · permalink
    78. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Chinese VCs study the West exhaustively while the West does not reciprocate on China.

      “They read everything they possibly can. They study any speech. They look at the financials. And he said, the West doesn't do that of China.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 0:13 · source · permalink
    79. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says Chinese founders and VCs study the West at a nauseating level while the West does not study China.

      “over lunch, this individual told me, you know, every founder and every VC in China studies the West at a nauseating level.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 12:52 · source · permalink
    80. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Chinese founders and VCs study the West exhaustively while the West does not reciprocate for China.

      “They read everything they possibly can. They study any speech. They look at the financials. And he said, the West doesn't do that of China.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 13:06 · source · permalink
    81. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Xiaomi factory makes one thousand cars daily with two thousand employees versus six in US.

      “The factory makes a thousand cars a day with 2,000 employees. It was highly automated, like really highly automated.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 17:34 · source · permalink
    82. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Xiaomi factory produces one car per day per two employees versus six in the US.

      “Let's say they took it to a thousand employees for a thousand cars. That'd be employed per car per day. That number is like at six in The US.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 17:48 · source · permalink
    83. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Ford CEO Farley shipped a Xiaomi car to Chicago and made extreme statements after driving it.

      “And he insisted they ship him one back to Chicago, and he's been driving it around. And he's made some pretty extreme statements after having experienced Xiaomi.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 20:02 · source · permalink
    84. Bill Gurley

      Gurley quotes Ford CEO saying Chinese vehicle cost and quality are far superior to the West.

      “And he says even beyond that, their cost, their quality of vehicles is far superior to what I see in the West. We are in a global competition with China, and it's not just EVs.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 20:20 · source · permalink
    85. Bill Gurley

      Gurley quotes Ford CEO Farley saying Chinese vehicle quality is far superior and Ford's future depends on competing.

      “And he says even beyond that, their cost, their quality of vehicles is far superior to what I see in the West.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 20:20 · source · permalink
    86. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports BYD executive denying government subsidies and challenging critics to find evidence in public filings.

      “I brought up the subsidization with Stella Lee at BYD, and she said she said, if I'm getting all this government subsidy money, can you please find it and show it to me?”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 42:56 · source · permalink
    87. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports BYD executive challenged him to find government subsidies in their public company financials.

      “We're we're a public company. Come show me the money I'm getting from the government. She's like, say, I'm getting nothing.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 43:05 · source · permalink
    88. Bill Gurley

      Gurley finds only four of twenty-four CCP select committee members have visited China within seven years.

      “I did a deep dive on on your favorite product chat, GBT, $300 version deep research, and on the 24 members of the select committee for the CCP.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 44:27 · source · permalink
    89. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says research shows all but four members of the CCP select committee have never been to China.

      “And I think all but four have never been to China. Right. And the ones that went, it was seven years ago.”

      28 Aug 2025 · Bg2 Pod · 44:39 · source · permalink
    90. David Tepper

      Tepper calls 25% or 50% tariffs destructive, drawing a line above 10% levels.

      “I don't love the the 25% or the 50% tariffs. I think they're a little bit destructive.”

      18 Sep 2025 · CNBC Television · 3:30 · source · permalink
    91. David Tepper

      Tepper says Chinese stocks trade at low teens multiples versus US, making them relatively interesting.

      “I mean, I think the move has been good, the earnings unlike here are still relatively low. I mean, you're, you know, you're talking, you know, low teens versus where we are.”

      18 Sep 2025 · CNBC Television · 0:51 · source · permalink
    92. Dylan Patel

      Patel estimates NVIDIA had north of $20 billion in China H20 revenue that had to be written off after ban.

      “Our our revenue estimate for NVIDIA in China for just h 20 was north of 20,000,000,000 because that's what they were booking in capacity slash had to write off.”

      22 Sep 2025 · a16z · 8:36 · source · permalink
    93. Dylan Patel

      Patel estimates NVIDIA had over $20 billion in H20 China revenue booked before ban and write-off.

      “Our our revenue estimate for NVIDIA in China for just h 20 was north of 20,000,000,000 because that's what they were booking in capacity slash had to write off. Yeah. And then it got banned.”

      22 Sep 2025 · a16z · 8:36 · source · permalink
    94. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China increased lithography imports to 40% of equipment spending to stockpile before bans took effect.

      “They were importing lithography at a much higher rate than that. Right? Like, 40% of their equipment imports were lithography, and they were stockpiling lithography equipment.”

      22 Sep 2025 · a16z · 16:07 · source · permalink
    95. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says Palantir's intellectual property must be massive interest to Russia and China.

      “your intellectual property must be a massive interest to the Russians and the Chinese. So you almost need, you know, a sort of protective organization.”

      25 Sep 2025 · One Decision · 26:09 · source · permalink
    96. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says Palantir's intellectual property must be of massive interest to Russians and Chinese, requiring protective organization.

      “But for example, your intellectual property must be of massive interest to the Russians and the Chinese. So you almost need a sort of protective organization.”

      26 Sep 2025 · One Decision · 0:11 · source · permalink
    97. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove states that Palantir's intellectual property must be of massive interest to Russians and Chinese.

      “your intellectual property must be of massive interest to the Russians and the Chinese. So you almost need a sort of protective organization.”

      26 Sep 2025 · One Decision · 0:12 · source · permalink
    98. David Friedberg

      Friedberg describes a Chinese team that synthesized starch from atmospheric carbon two years ago using chemo-enzymatic systems.

      “And what they did is they created a chemo enzymatic system, meaning chemical and then enzymes, that could synthesize starch from atmospheric carbon.”

      9 Oct 2025 · Venture Europe · 33:38 · source · permalink
    99. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove states China poses a serious threat to UK national security and acknowledges mutual espionage between the two countries.

      “Look, we all know there is a serious threat to The UK's national security from China.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 1:56 · source · permalink
    100. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove states China poses a serious threat to UK national security and acknowledges mutual espionage between the two countries.

      “Look, we all know there is a serious threat to The UK's national security from China.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 1:56 · source · permalink
    101. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says the government's handling of the China spy case looks like appeasement despite official denials.

      “And it it, you know, it looks awfully like appeasement, yet we're being told it isn't.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 2:22 · source · permalink
    102. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove says the proposed Chinese embassy site is sensitive due to communications cables running underneath or near it.

      “And the reason it's sensitive in my understanding is because of the communications cables that run underneath it or very close to it.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 3:05 · source · permalink
    103. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove opposes the Chinese embassy in the City of London due to sensitive communications cables underneath.

      “And putting a Chinese embassy on top of that in a strategic place in the city of London seems to me an unnecessarily foolish and risky step to take and we should say no.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 3:15 · source · permalink
    104. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove cites Australia as an example of handling China firmly despite intense commercial ties.

      “And the Australian government have shown everybody that they can be very tough when they feel that their national security has been threatened by China, which it has on a number of occasions.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 5:25 · source · permalink
    105. Sir Richard Dearlove

      Dearlove cites Australia as an example of handling China firmly despite intense commercial ties.

      “And the Australian government have shown everybody that they can be very tough when they feel that their national security has been threatened by China, which it has on a number of occasions.”

      16 Oct 2025 · Sky News · 5:25 · source · permalink
    106. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner compares AI buildout to Manhattan Project, calling it both national and economic security imperative against China.

      “We are in a global AI race with China. This is like the Manhattan Project. We have to build out compute. It it's a it's not only a national security imperative.”

      7 Nov 2025 · CNBC Television · 5:17 · source · permalink
    107. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues invisible hand capitalism with hyper competition is actively happening in China despite communist label.

      “So I think the thing that a lot of people in Silicon Valley love about capitalism is this notion of the invisible hand and competition that leads to innovation and best practice, and the winners rise up and they're better for it. That is happening there.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 20:59 · source · permalink
    108. Bill Gurley

      Gurley states China builds nuclear fission plants at one fourth the price of US construction costs.

      “So they are building new nuclear fission plants. So fission being old school, not new school, at one fourth the price that we do it here in The US.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 28:44 · source · permalink
    109. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports China builds nuclear fission plants at one-fourth the US price; South Korea does too.

      “So fission being old school, not new school, at one fourth the price that we do it here in The US. So is South Korea, by the way.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 28:50 · source · permalink
    110. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says Xiaomi uses one-third the employees per car; predicts one-sixth in ten years.

      “The Xiaomi factory was a third, based on some numbers I was able to acquire, a third the number of employees per car output.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 29:29 · source · permalink
    111. Bill Gurley

      Gurley quotes Dan Wong saying America is run by lawyers while China is run by engineers.

      “I think Dan Wong does a good job of saying that America is run by lawyers the author of of Breakneck. Our country's run by lawyers and theirs is run by engineers.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 29:58 · source · permalink
    112. Bill Gurley

      Gurley calls claims that China lacks innovation capabilities flat wrong based on direct observation during visits.

      “And that's just flat wrong. Whoever's saying that just hasn't been there. They don't know the facts on the ground.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 39:19 · source · permalink
    113. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says Chinese entrepreneurs match US quality, citing MEMS LiDAR at $130 per car versus thousands.

      “These entrepreneurs are every bit as good as the entrepreneurs they are here. There are examples like in LiDAR, they built a MEMS LiDAR product that's like $130 a car.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 39:26 · source · permalink
    114. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes China has ten open source AI models in hyper competition versus US proprietary approach.

      “Wild. And by the way, I mean, not to divert too much back, but right now China has 10 open source AI models.”

      17 Dec 2025 · Tim Ferriss · 1:50:28 · source · permalink
    115. David Friedberg

      Friedberg states Chinese scientific publications went from half of US levels in 2015 to 50% more than US now.

      “a statistic. In twenty fifteen, ten years ago, papers published by Chinese research labs and major scientific journals were about half of The United States. Yeah. Now 50% more than The United States.”

      21 Dec 2025 · Network State Podcast · 45:24 · source · permalink
    116. David Friedberg

      Friedberg states Chinese scientific publications went from half of US output in 2015 to 50% more today across all categories.

      “In twenty fifteen, ten years ago, papers published by Chinese research labs and major scientific journals were about half of The United States. Yeah. Now 50% more than The United States.”

      21 Dec 2025 · Network State Podcast · 45:25 · source · permalink
    117. David Friedberg

      Friedberg states China is constructing 400 nuclear reactors representing 60% of total US power production capacity.

      “Just try to think about each one of those being one, maybe one and a half gigawatts. Suddenly, that's 60% of The US power production capacity being built right now”

      21 Dec 2025 · Network State Podcast · 1:00:19 · source · permalink
    118. David Friedberg

      Friedberg notes China is building 400 nuclear reactors, equivalent to 60% of total US power production capacity.

      “Just try to think about each one of those being one, maybe one and a half gigawatts. Suddenly, that's 60% of The US power production capacity being built right now in just nuclear by China.”

      21 Dec 2025 · Network State Podcast · 1:00:19 · source · permalink
    119. David Friedberg

      Friedberg says China has 400 nuclear reactor sites under construction, representing 60% of total US power production capacity.

      “Suddenly, that's 60% of The US power production capacity being built right now in just nuclear by China.”

      21 Dec 2025 · Network State Podcast · 1:00:23 · source · permalink
    1. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China's entire culture is semiconductor-focused, even appearing in romance dramas.

      “I think the entire country is like semiconductor pilled. Mhmm. Right? There are dramas where people fall in love in the fab or dramas where people fall in love and they're photovoltaic,”

      5 Feb 2026 · The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck · 26:11 · source · permalink
    2. Dylan Patel

      Patel says China's entire culture is semiconductor pilled with romance dramas set in fabs and solar research.

      “There are dramas where people fall in love in the fab or dramas where people fall in love and they're photovoltaic, like, solar cell researchers and engineers.”

      5 Feb 2026 · The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck · 26:15 · source · permalink
    3. Dylan Patel

      Patel claims China has the most vertical semiconductor stack and could run fabs independently unlike TSMC.

      “China has the most vertical stack in semiconductors today and they're the best at semiconductors in the world because their fabs could still run somewhat on a lot of things because they have built some of these chemical supply chains. Right? Like TSMC for certain kinds of chemicals 100% share from Japan.”

      5 Feb 2026 · The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck · 30:44 · source · permalink
    4. Dylan Patel

      Patel predicts AI industry will hit $100 billion ARR by end of 2025, with China 10x lower.

      “And then what's the economic value of that $100,000,000,000? Now, how much of that is in China? Right? Like, China's number is probably 10 x lower.”

      5 Feb 2026 · The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck · 39:55 · source · permalink
    5. Dylan Patel

      Patel frames AI competition as economic war determining whether China rises to global hegemony.

      “at the end of the day, this is an economic war. Right? If The US and the West win in AI and control, you know, more powerful AI systems that have this feedback loop that improve economic growth and weapon systems and whatever else, right, engineering of grids and cyber attacks and all these sorts of things.”

      5 Feb 2026 · The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck · 40:29 · source · permalink
    6. Dylan Patel

      Patel argues Western AI dominance determines whether China becomes global hegemon; without it, China will win economically.

      “They have this like advantage over China, then China will not rise to be the global hegemony. But without AI, China definitely will rise to be the global hegemony.”

      5 Feb 2026 · The MAD Podcast with Matt Turck · 40:46 · source · permalink
    7. Bill Gurley

      Gurley warns undiplomatic behavior could push global partners toward China, which he saw performing strongly in August.

      “if we are undiplomatic with our partners around the globe, that they will, it'll be more easier for them to rationalize agreements with China.”

      26 Feb 2026 · On with Kara Swisher · 50:43 · source · permalink
    8. Bill Gurley

      Gurley warns undiplomatic US behavior could push global partners toward China, which he observed hitting on many cylinders in August.

      “And China is, I just spent some time there in August is hitting on many, many cylinders.”

      26 Feb 2026 · On with Kara Swisher · 50:57 · source · permalink
    9. Bill Gurley

      Gurley warns alienating trade partners could result in China serving global AI markets while America is isolated.

      “I think this could even happen with AI models where there's a fence around America and China's serving the rest of the world.”

      26 Feb 2026 · On with Kara Swisher · 51:32 · source · permalink
    10. Bill Gurley

      Gurley warns that China's open source AI dynamic creates hypercompetitive weapon politicians don't understand.

      “And I don't think the world, especially the the the politicians understand how, like unbelievably powerful open source is as a a as a weapon, like, as a competitive weapon.”

      4 Mar 2026 · BigDeal by Codie Sanchez · 43:29 · source · permalink
    11. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues open source creates hypercompetitive dynamics politicians don't understand as competitive weapon.

      “I don't think the world, especially the the the politicians understand how, like unbelievably powerful open source is as a a as a weapon, like, as a competitive weapon.”

      4 Mar 2026 · BigDeal by Codie Sanchez · 43:29 · source · permalink
    12. Bill Gurley

      Gurley predicts the US cannot stay ahead of China in AI with two proprietary models versus ten open source ones.

      “I think the odds that that, you know, The US with two, you know, proprietary models can stay ahead of China with 10 open source ones is very low.”

      4 Mar 2026 · BigDeal by Codie Sanchez · 44:58 · source · permalink
    13. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reports Chinese VCs told him Chinese founders study US relentlessly while Americans don't study China.

      “They watch the YouTube interviews. They listen to the podcast. They study them like crazy. He said, founders and and VCs in America don't study Chinese.”

      4 Mar 2026 · BigDeal by Codie Sanchez · 57:24 · source · permalink
    14. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes AI anxiety polls in China show fraction of US levels because Chinese leaders don't do doomsday messaging.

      “Why? I think it's because the leaders over there that are working on these products aren't doing the doomsday stuff that Dario is doing.”

      24 Mar 2026 · Mighty Pursuit · 6:13 · source · permalink
    15. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes AI fear polling is 20 percent in China versus 80 percent in America.

      “And I think you guys mentioned this, but the polling on AI fear in China is like 20% or something like that. And it's like 80 here in America.”

      27 Mar 2026 · Prof G Markets · 30:10 · source · permalink
    16. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says it costs 400% more to build nuclear plants in US than in South Korea or China.

      “it costs four x, 400% more to build a a a fission nuclear plant, 70 year old technology in The US than it does in South Korea or China.”

      23 Apr 2026 · Tom Bilyeu · 50:16 · source · permalink
    17. Bill Gurley

      Gurley warns US AI regulation could create a fence around America while China serves the rest of the world.

      “I think what may happen if you look at what happened with the Internet, there was a global market that the American company served, and there was a ring fence around China.”

      23 Apr 2026 · Tom Bilyeu · 54:10 · source · permalink
    18. “I think what could happen with AI is we could build a fence around ourselves, and China could end up serving the rest of the world.”

      23 Apr 2026 · Tom Bilyeu · 54:31 · source · permalink
    19. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues China built a highly competitive system inside communism through provincial competition mechanisms.

      “They have built, inside of a communist country, have built a system that's highly competitive. And it comes from leveraging provincial competition and some other things.”

      11 May 2026 · MIT Sloan VCPE · 41:42 · source · permalink
    20. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China had 150 EV car companies, creating more intense competition than in the US.

      “And you'll see, there were 150 EV car companies there. So hyper competition. In fact, I could argue the model they've created has more intense competition than we have here.”

      11 May 2026 · MIT Sloan VCPE · 42:01 · source · permalink
    21. Dylan Patel

      Patel notes China has a fully self-sufficient vertical semiconductor supply chain, though behind by three to fifteen years.

      “China has a vertical supply chain. Yes. In many cases, it's fifteen years behind, ten years behind, in some cases, only three years behind.”

      13 May 2026 · Swole as a Service · 11:50 · source · permalink
    22. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says the US is financing nearly a trillion dollars in annual AI capex privately, unlike China's government subsidies.

      “I think it's extraordinary that we're financing almost a trillion dollars of capex a year to build out the the entire AI infrastructure without any money from the US government.”

      15 May 2026 · Altimeter Capital · 25:00 · source · permalink
    23. Bill Gurley

      Gurley uses a farming metaphor to explain why China's open source AI models may innovate faster than closed US models.

      “I'll use a simple metaphor, but imagine you have two societies and both agricultural societies.”

      9 Jun 2026 · The Knowledge Project Podcast · 15:40 · source · permalink
    24. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues China's open-source AI models create a system capable of innovating faster than closed US models.

      “And the other society, when the farmers come to market, they're forced to share best practices with all the other farmers. Which which one of those is gonna gonna evolve faster?”

      9 Jun 2026 · The Knowledge Project Podcast · 15:51 · source · permalink
    25. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says China's instant transfers enabled Alibaba and Tencent to build wallets used for everything from street vendors to cars.

      “In China, because they had this digital immediate transfer, Alibaba and Tencent were able to very quickly build digital wallets that people carry around.”

      9 Jun 2026 · The Knowledge Project Podcast · 38:35 · source · permalink
    26. Bill Gurley

      Gurley describes how China's digital payment system lets people pay for everything via QR codes.

      “You scan a QR code, like, at a you check out of a restaurant. Like, can just pay at your table. There's a QR code on the table.”

      9 Jun 2026 · The Knowledge Project Podcast · 39:04 · source · permalink
    27. Jensen Huang

      Huang argues national security, technology leadership, and economic prosperity are not mutually exclusive.

      “You could have national security, you have technology leadership, and you could have economic prosper ity all at the same time.”

      16 Jun 2026 · Associated Press · 17:06 · source · permalink
    28. Bill Gurley

      Gurley finds Chinese entrepreneurs have the most cultural affinity with American entrepreneurs globally.

      “of all the places I've visited around the world, the one place where I find the most cultural affinity between entrepreneurs, between American entrepreneurs and some foreign entrepreneurs, China. Like, the most like mindedness.”

      21 Jul 2026 · Bill Gurley · 5:08 · source · permalink
    29. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says Chinese entrepreneurs have greatest cultural affinity with American entrepreneurs globally based on social interactions.

      “the one place where I find the most cultural affinity between entrepreneurs, between American entrepreneurs and some foreign entrepreneurs, China. Like, the most like mindedness.”

      21 Jul 2026 · Bill Gurley · 5:13 · source · permalink
    30. Bill Gurley

      Gurley suggests highlighting state versus state competition in US modeled on China's provincial competition.

      “I'm I'm enamored by the provincial competition in China, and I wonder if shining a brighter light on state versus state competition could lead to some pretty amazing and positive things for our own country.”

      21 Jul 2026 · Bill Gurley · 14:48 · source · permalink
    31. Dylan Patel

      Patel claims all good open source models are Chinese, with American and French models being terrible.

      “American open source models are terrible. French open source models. Well, Mistral just stopped open sourcing models really. Are there any of the good ones? So it's it's all Chinese open source models.”

      22 Jul 2026 · RAISE Summit · 12:43 · source · permalink
    32. “Base Ten, like Tuhin's probably made more money off of, you know, Minimax or GLM or DeepSeq than those companies have because he's serving those models at scale. And same with, Linett Fireworks.”

      22 Jul 2026 · RAISE Summit · 13:13 · source · permalink
    33. David Sacks

      Sacks recounts Dario's argument that having thousands of AI agents versus China's dozens would ensure US dominance.

      “And if we have thousands or millions of those and China has only dozens or a 100, whatever, then we're going to win everything.”

      23 Aug 2026 · All-In Podcast · 0:19 · source · permalink
    34. JD Vance

      Vance declares Canada and China the two worst countries for trade policy anywhere in the world.

      “Canada and China have been the two worst countries when it come to trade policy anywhere in the world.”

      25 Aug 2026 · Forbes Breaking News · 0:09 · source · permalink
    35. JD Vance

      Vance accuses Canada of serving as a backdoor for Chinese goods and favoring them over Maine products.

      “We know that Canada allows itself to be used as a backdoor for Chinese goods. They treat Chinese goods more fairly than they do the goods that come for the people of Maine.”

      25 Aug 2026 · Forbes Breaking News · 1:09 · source · permalink

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