On the record about

decision-making

4 people · 16 quotes · 25 Jan 2022 to 4 Aug 2026

Who is on this subjectordered by the date of their first quote here

3 of 4 lanes rest on fewer than 5 quotes and are marked thin. Offsets are days from the middle first-quote date, 20 Jul 2023 — a date, and nothing else. It is not a claim about who reached a view first.

The chronologysourced and dated, oldest first

    1. Gavin Baker

      Baker says the key trait for public equity investors is the ability to be rational when wrong.

      “If I could know one thing about a person to know whether or not they would be a good public equity investor, it would simply be, are you capable of being rational when you're wrong?”

      25 Jan 2022 · Invest Like the Best · 1:06:39 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley advocates waiting rather than reacting, citing Silicon Valley Bank weekend as example where panic proved unnecessary.

      “I've learned that if you just wait a little bit of time, a lot of problems go away.”

      20 Jul 2023 · Tim Ferriss · 55:10 · source · permalink
    1. “But if I don't invest it and the world doesn't melt down, then we didn't do our job. QED, you have to move forward.”

      22 Aug 2025 · My First Million · 33:54 · source · permalink
    2. David Friedberg

      Friedberg's data science lead taught that any amount of data provides predictive capability beyond none.

      “this guy always said, you can never have too much data, and you can never have too little data. Any amount of data gives you more than none and gives you predictive capability.”

      9 Oct 2025 · Venture Europe · 1:43 · source · permalink
    3. David Friedberg

      Friedberg's data science leader taught that any amount of data provides predictive capability, with more data improving predictions.

      “Any amount of data gives you more than none and gives you predictive capability. And the more data you get, the better your predictive capability gets.”

      9 Oct 2025 · Venture Europe · 1:47 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley used a thirty-year thought experiment to test career fit, mirroring Bezos's eighty-year self framework.

      “I don't know that I said, I'm doing this exercise kind of like Bezos did when he started. But I said to myself, do I see myself doing this thirty years from now?”

      25 Feb 2026 · Lux Capital · 3:08 · source · permalink
    2. “And I paused in each one of them and said, do I want to be here thirty years from now, like in that office?”

      13 Mar 2026 · Afford Anything Podcast · 11:12 · source · permalink
    3. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says venture capital requires breaking your own rules or you'll say no to everything.

      “venture capital is a game where you have to one of the reasons, group decision making works so well is you're you're gonna have to break one of your rules or you're gonna say no to everything.”

      13 Mar 2026 · Afford Anything Podcast · 43:02 · source · permalink
    4. Bill Gurley

      Gurley offers heuristic for career decisions: ask yourself if you see doing current job thirty years from now.

      “But I then had a reflection and this is the heuristic I think people can use. I, I one day thought to myself, do I see myself doing this thirty years from now?”

      10 Apr 2026 · Metis Strategy · 13:48 · source · permalink
    5. Bill Gurley

      Gurley describes his heuristic of asking whether he could see himself doing the same job thirty years later.

      “I one day thought to myself, do I see myself doing this thirty years from now?”

      10 Apr 2026 · Metis Strategy · 13:53 · source · permalink
    6. Bill Gurley

      Gurley changed careers twice using the thirty-year test before finding his path to venture capital.

      “I went to MBA school, I went to Wall Street, worked there for three years, had the same discussion with myself, which got me looking in a different direction,”

      21 Apr 2026 · Forbes · 6:58 · source · permalink
    7. Gavin Baker

      Baker quotes mentor Jennifer Yurig: investors either panic early or double down late, not both.

      “Ultimately, as an investor, you either have to panic early or double down late. And essentially no one does both. And know thyself.”

      8 Jul 2026 · Generating Alpha Podcast · 1:03:59 · source · permalink
    8. Bill Gurley

      Gurley explains VCs can only join two boards yearly so must emotionally commit, not just meet hurdle rates.

      “But venture capitalists have a limited number of boards they can go on, probably two a year. And and so they don't have limited shot unlimited shots on goal.”

      15 Jul 2026 · Bill Gurley · 21:45 · source · permalink
    9. Bill Gurley

      Gurley explains VCs invest in only two boards yearly requiring emotional commitment not just IRR.

      “venture capitalists have a limited number of boards they can go on, probably two a year. And and so they don't have limited shot unlimited shots on goal.”

      15 Jul 2026 · Bill Gurley · 21:45 · source · permalink
    10. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says he learned waiting solves many problems, citing Silicon Valley Bank weekend as example.

      “And I used I I I used to go deep in them, and this weekend was a perfect example, and there's a good transition to Silicon Valley Bank.”

      4 Aug 2026 · BlackNova Productions · 59:45 · source · permalink
    11. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says many people acted manically during SVB crisis weekend but problems resolved by morning.

      “But a lot of people did a lot of crazy manic things this weekend that didn't matter. Yeah. Because it all got solved this morning.”

      4 Aug 2026 · BlackNova Productions · 59:52 · source · permalink

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