The Minutes

On the record about

google

6 people · 108 quotes · 8 Oct 2011 to 8 Aug 2026

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The chronologysourced and dated, oldest first

    1. David Friedberg

      Friedberg estimates Google starting salaries at $105,000 for new graduates as a startup comparison baseline.

      “And if you were to get a job at Google when you graduate, the anecdotal evidence suggests that your first year salary would be about $105,000 this year.”

      8 Oct 2011 · Stanford eCorner · 27:39 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley traces Silicon Valley's criticism of IPO unfairness through eBay, Hambrick and Quist, and Google's Dutch auction.

      “Pierro Midiard had at eBay calling it undemocratic. You know, Hambrick and Quist, Bill Hambrick, twenty years ago called the IPO an insider's game.”

      2 Oct 2019 · Bloomberg Tech · 0:32 · source · permalink
    1. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner invested in Priceline at $1B valuation; it became Google's largest advertiser and built a $100B business.

      “We started investing in it when it was a billion dollar business and Priceline became the single largest global advertiser on Google and build a $100,000,000,000 vertical search business by providing better access to hotels and hotel inventory but that business would not have existed without Google.”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 7:32 · source · permalink
    2. “We started investing in it when it was a billion dollar business and Priceline became the single largest global advertiser on Google and build a $100,000,000,000 vertical search business”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 7:32 · source · permalink
    3. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Priceline built a $100 billion vertical search business by becoming Google's largest global advertiser.

      “We started investing in it when it was a billion dollar business and Priceline became the single largest global advertiser on Google and build a $100,000,000,000 vertical search business by providing better access to hotels and hotel inventory”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 7:32 · source · permalink
    4. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Priceline built a $100 billion vertical search business by becoming Google's largest global advertiser.

      “We started investing in it when it was a billion dollar business and Priceline became the single largest global advertiser on Google and build a $100,000,000,000 vertical search business by providing better access to hotels”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 7:32 · source · permalink
    5. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner's core Google insight was search volume and revenue per search would both increase over time.

      “The high quality insight was simply that Google was going to do more searches in the future than they did in the past and that the revenue per search was going to go up over time.”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 8:31 · source · permalink
    6. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner notes Google compounded at similar rates to other platforms despite his early worries about search's future.

      “And I was talking of I was worried about the future of search and the future of vertical search starting in 2010, But look at Google's compounded at about the rate the other big platforms have in The US.”

      23 Jun 2020 · Invest Like the Best · 13:48 · source · permalink
    1. Gavin Baker

      Baker says Google was first cloud provider to stop competing with independent infrastructure software providers.

      “But they try and force the open source infrastructure build themselves. And I think Google was the first one to realize, like, Hey, this is kind of silly.”

      25 Jan 2022 · Invest Like the Best · 38:22 · source · permalink
    2. Gavin Baker

      Baker argues Google was first cloud provider to embrace rather than compete with third-party infrastructure software.

      “B, there's a lot of money to be made just in providing these primitives. Let's stop trying to compete with these independent infrastructure software providers right on top of the cloud.”

      25 Jan 2022 · Invest Like the Best · 38:32 · source · permalink
    3. David Friedberg

      Friedberg recounts Larry Page and Sergey Brin calling third-party cookies evil in early Google days, proving prescient.

      “Wesley and I kind of started working together after that because the first thing Larry and Sergei said to me was that's evil. Third party cookies are evil.”

      3 Mar 2022 · My First Million · 14:21 · source · permalink
    4. David Friedberg

      Friedberg says Google AdWords aimed for zero bounce-back rate, meaning users never returned to search after clicking an ad.

      “And then 100% of the time they don't come back. So the bounce back rate is zero.”

      3 Mar 2022 · My First Million · 15:23 · source · permalink
    5. David Friedberg

      Friedberg says Google Analytics drove $500 million in additional AdWords revenue within a year of the $25 million acquisition.

      “Within a year, I think we had shown through Hal Varian, who was our chief economist, we had demonstrated that Google Analytics increased AdWords revenue by $500,000,000 because so many advertisers were using it to improve their websites and make the conversions better that they were spending more on AdWords.”

      3 Mar 2022 · My First Million · 16:04 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley notes the two best VCs at the time, Doerr and Moritz, invested in Google when he passed.

      “I'd like to highlight, and I always do, the two best venture capitalists in the world at the time, John Doerr and Mike Maritz, kinda locked hands and said yes.”

      26 Jan 2023 · Tim Ferriss · 9:48 · source · permalink
    2. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner warns that companies relying on Google's search ecosystem face potential value destruction from AI disruption.

      “You're not gonna have to search through 10 blue links. And so, yes, a lot of the companies that were beneficiaries of the Google ecosystem are now suspect.”

      6 Jun 2023 · CNBC Television · 3:55 · source · permalink
    3. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says top tech leaders now believe the $20 trillion web search market is up for grabs.

      “And I will tell you that the conversation around that table, there's increasing confidence that whatever comes next, right, the top of the funnel is up for grabs,”

      16 Jun 2023 · All-In Podcast · 35:17 · source · permalink
    4. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says there's growing confidence that search dollars will redistribute over 5-7 years, even Google must cannibalize search.

      “And make no mistake, Google is well positioned to make its claim for that, but its claim is going to come at the expense of search.”

      16 Jun 2023 · All-In Podcast · 35:34 · source · permalink
    5. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner characterizes Google as a monopoly that has been a tax collector on the Internet for twenty years.

      “Google has been a monopoly, a tax collector on everything on the Internet for twenty years.”

      28 Sep 2023 · CNBC Television · 0:00 · source · permalink
    6. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner characterizes Google as a twenty-year monopoly tax collector on the Internet with monopoly search pricing.

      “Google has been a monopoly, a tax collector on everything on the Internet for twenty years. Okay? And they have monopoly pricing on search.”

      28 Sep 2023 · CNBC Television · 0:00 · source · permalink
    7. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues Google's culture evolved from product-led growth to a research institution.

      “the culture at Google had evolved in such a way that it had become more of a research institution than a product led growth institution.”

      28 Sep 2023 · CNBC Television · 0:16 · source · permalink
    8. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner contends GPT has become the default verb for AI, not Google's Bard.

      “So what is the verb in the age of AI? Do you bard or do you chat GPT? GPT has become the default verb for all things AI.”

      28 Sep 2023 · CNBC Television · 0:32 · source · permalink
    9. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says GPT has become the default verb for AI, not Google's Bard.

      “Do you bard or do you chat GPT? GPT has become the default verb for all things AI.”

      28 Sep 2023 · CNBC Television · 0:35 · source · permalink
    10. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Google made a mistake letting OpenAI go first despite having the technology and capabilities.

      “And to relinquish that spot by letting OpenAI go first, when you had the technology, you had the supercompute, you had the capabilities to release that product, I think was a mistake.”

      28 Sep 2023 · CNBC Television · 0:44 · source · permalink
    11. “I think there's plenty of time. If this is going to be as big and as transformational as humanity as we all think it will be, remember, you didn't have to invest in search until Google's IPO in 2004 to capture 95% of all ever generated by Internet search.”

      26 Oct 2023 · FII Institute · 15:03 · source · permalink
    12. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues waiting until Google's 2004 IPO still captured 95% of all search value ever created.

      “you didn't have to invest in search until Google's IPO in 2004 to capture 95% of all ever generated by Internet search.”

      26 Oct 2023 · FII Institute · 15:10 · source · permalink
    13. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner conducted search experiment with Paul Reeder showing ChatGPT delivered answer instantly versus three to four minutes on Google.

      “I said to Paul, you use Google and I'll use ChatGPT. I got the answer instantaneously. It took him three or four minutes of hunting and pecking around.”

      20 Nov 2023 · Bloomberg Podcasts · 20:27 · source · permalink
    14. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues Google 2004 IPO investors captured 90 percent of internet search profits, illustrating patience in venture.

      “You could have waited to invest in Google in 2004 and their IPO and you would have captured 90 plus percent of all the profits ever generated in internet search.”

      20 Nov 2023 · Bloomberg Podcasts · 1:02:45 · source · permalink
    15. Dylan Patel

      Patel claims Google is massively ramping TPU production, a closely guarded secret most DeepMind employees don't know.

      “Google's actually ramping up TPU production massively. And I think people in AI would be like, Well, duh. But like, okay, who has the capability of figuring out the number?”

      5 Dec 2023 · Latent Space · 5:51 · source · permalink
    16. Dylan Patel

      Patel says Google's TPU production numbers are closely guarded secrets that even most Google DeepMind employees don't know.

      “Right? That's like a very closely guarded secret, most people that work at Google DeepMind don't even know number.”

      5 Dec 2023 · Latent Space · 6:04 · source · permalink
    17. Dylan Patel

      Patel claims Google will have more compute than any other company by a large factor.

      “Google is going to have more compute than any other company in the world period by like a large, large factor.”

      5 Dec 2023 · Latent Space · 9:58 · source · permalink
    18. Dylan Patel

      Patel says OpenAI has a lot less total FLOPS than Google despite having more GPUs than most perceive.

      “whole point was that Google you know, OpenAI, who everyone would be like, oh, yeah. They have more GPUs than anyone else. Right? But they have a lot less flops than Google.”

      5 Dec 2023 · Latent Space · 24:49 · source · permalink
    1. David Friedberg

      Friedberg describes Google's book-scanning project as exemplifying leadership through big audacious goals that challenge teams.

      “And those big thinking, those big ideas, those big audacious concepts, as a framing for the team, really, I think personified what I consider to be true leadership in an organization of people,”

      9 Jan 2024 · How I Invest Podcast · 7:33 · source · permalink
    2. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner contrasts Meta's 87,000 to 67,000 headcount reduction with Google staying flat at 187,000 to 183,000.

      “You know? And like I said, they've tripled their earnings per per employee while going from 87,000 to 67,000 employees.”

      2 Feb 2024 · CNBC Television · 3:17 · source · permalink
    3. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner notes Google barely reduced headcount from 187,000 to 183,000 over the same period.

      “You know, if you look at Google over that same period of time, I pulled the numbers this morning.”

      2 Feb 2024 · CNBC Television · 3:26 · source · permalink
    4. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner calls Google the greatest monopoly with greatest monopoly profits in capitalism history.

      “But we also saw in the case of Google, as I've said, it's the greatest monopoly with the greatest monopoly profits in the history of capitalism.”

      2 Feb 2024 · CNBC Television · 8:02 · source · permalink
    5. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner contrasts Meta's headcount reduction and earnings explosion with Google's minimal changes and weaker stock performance.

      “Facebook is actually reduced headcount significantly and their earnings per employee has exploded and Google kind of, you know, they're fine, but they really just haven't made many changes.”

      8 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 34:24 · source · permalink
    6. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues Google's cage-match ad model generates far higher revenue than transactional models could achieve.

      “Their business model is to throw their customers in a cage match and let them compete with one other to the death.”

      8 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 48:07 · source · permalink
    7. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues transaction models produce 10x less revenue per visit than ad models due to CAC-to-LTV dynamics.

      “You're not going to get to the same revenue per visit with a transaction model that you do with the ad model, because you already mentioned CAC TV.”

      8 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 48:27 · source · permalink
    8. Bill Gurley

      Gurley argues Google lacks the internal culture to partner in win-win ways due to their cage-match business model.

      “In addition to everything I brought up, because their core business model is to throw their customers in a cage match, they don't they don't have the culture internally to partner in a friendly win win way.”

      8 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 51:37 · source · permalink
    9. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner states Google processes 10 billion queries daily, more than one per human globally.

      “So, you know, a couple queries are more than a query for every human on the planet, and it has the most efficient system in the world for doing that.”

      22 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 17:26 · source · permalink
    10. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Google's query growth had already slowed to 4% annually before AI, with 10 billion queries daily.

      “And so the first thing that we just say is that the basing engagement, even before AI had slowed down a lot, because you're already at 10,000,000,000 queries a day.”

      22 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 17:52 · source · permalink
    11. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner calculates AI answers cost 10x more than traditional search: 4 cents versus 0.3 cents per query.

      “Now, what does it cost to do that for $7.50 tokens today? And of course, this will go down over time, but it's 10x more, right? It's 4¢ per query.”

      22 Feb 2024 · BG2 Pod · 19:17 · source · permalink
    12. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Google offers AI engineers $500K cash plus $1.5M in monthly-vesting RSUs, totaling millions annually.

      “Okay? But instead of cash, for example, Google's offering 500,000 in cash plus a million and $0.5 in RSUs vesting monthly, right, to these engineers.”

      21 Mar 2024 · BG2 Pod · 24:34 · source · permalink
    13. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Google offers AI engineers $500k cash plus $1.5M in monthly-vesting RSUs.

      “Google's offering 500,000 in cash plus a million and $0.5 in RSUs vesting monthly, right, to these engineers. So every single month, those RSUs are immediately available for sale.”

      21 Mar 2024 · BG2 Pod · 24:38 · source · permalink
    14. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner reports using ChatGPT exclusively instead of Google for a 45-minute tutoring session with his son.

      “I found myself we never opened Google a single time, Bill. And it really unlocked a lot of learning and led to this forty five minute conversation back and forth that we had.”

      16 May 2024 · BG2 Pod · 1:19 · source · permalink
    15. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner's survey work shows people are turning to ChatGPT, Claude, and Apple Intelligence over traditional search.

      “We do lots of survey work on this, Scott. People are turning to chat GPT, they're turning to Claude, they're turning to, why are we so excited about Apple Intelligence?”

      11 Jun 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:02 · source · permalink
    16. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues users are shifting from Google's ten blue links to ChatGPT, Claude, and Apple Intelligence.

      “Because people are going to turn to Apple Intelligence instead of 10 blue links to find answers to the questions they have.”

      11 Jun 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:10 · source · permalink
    17. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner states Google was dominant in 10 blue links but is not dominant in the new AI era.

      “They were dominant in 10 blue links. They are not dominant in this. There are a lot of other players in the age of What”

      11 Jun 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:34 · source · permalink
    18. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner asserts Google lost its dominance in the AI era despite dominating traditional search.

      “They were dominant in 10 blue links. They are not dominant in this. There are a lot of other players in the age of”

      11 Jun 2024 · CNBC Television · 1:34 · source · permalink
    19. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner explains Google released Kubernetes for free as defensive move against Amazon's AWS dominance.

      “Google did it again with Kubernetes, which is a piece of technology that lets you move your workloads very easily between clouds. They were worried Amazon was running away with AWS.”

      25 Jul 2024 · BG2 Pod · 30:17 · source · permalink
    20. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says big four tech companies will spend $220 billion on capex this year.

      “if you look at the big four, they're gonna spend $220,000,000,000 this year on CapEx.”

      9 Aug 2024 · BG2 Pod · 32:04 · source · permalink
    21. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says Google and Apple present completely one-sided partnership terms that would be unacceptable with other parties.

      “And you're presented with a set of terms that you would never consider with any other party out there. It's a completely one-sided deal.”

      9 Aug 2024 · BG2 Pod · 1:03:15 · source · permalink
    22. Gavin Baker

      Baker reports Larry Page has said internally he is willing to go bankrupt rather than lose the AI race.

      “Larry Page has evidently said internally at Google many times, I am willing to go bankrupt rather than lose this race.”

      27 Aug 2024 · Invest Like the Best · 5:04 · source · permalink
    23. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner reports Google confirmed AI-enhanced search results monetize at the same rate as traditional search results.

      “one of the key questions there was whether or not the AI enhanced search results were gonna monetize at the same level as non AI enhanced search results.”

      31 Oct 2024 · BG2 Pod · 57:34 · source · permalink
    24. Bill Gurley

      Gurley explains Google's revenue per visit will fall with completed transactions because advertisers pay less for white-label rails.

      “Because someone is spending marketing dollars to take that customer to their website and run the transaction with the hopes that they'll come directly back to that website.”

      31 Oct 2024 · BG2 Pod · 1:02:03 · source · permalink
    25. Dylan Patel

      Patel reports Google has publicly confirmed training across multiple data centers in one region.

      “Google has actually publicly stated that they've done this. They've trained across multiple data centers in a region.”

      12 Nov 2024 · Scaling Intelligence · 11:10 · source · permalink
    26. Dylan Patel

      Patel says Google built rack-scale AI systems with Broadcom in 2018 before NVIDIA deployed similar architecture.

      “Google did something very similar in 2018, right, with the TPU. Now they couldn't do it alone. Right? They know the software.”

      23 Dec 2024 · BG2 Pod · 9:52 · source · permalink
    27. Dylan Patel

      Patel says Google deployed water cooling years before NVIDIA and achieves higher reliability than NVIDIA GPUs.

      “Google's brought in water cooling for years. Right? NVIDIA only just realized they needed water cooling on this generation. And Google's brought in a level of reliability that NVIDIA GPUs don't have.”

      23 Dec 2024 · BG2 Pod · 1:11:47 · source · permalink
    1. Bill Gurley

      Gurley explains missing Google despite negative signs including Yahoo's collapse and Larry and Sergey both wanting to be CEO.

      “These were other search companies, right, at the time. Right. Larry and Sergey both wanted to be CEO and they were PhD students at Stanford.”

      24 Jan 2025 · McCombs School of Business · 19:06 · source · permalink
    2. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner reports organic search traffic down 20-40% as companies push AI-embedded answers above traditional results.

      “They're saying organic search is down 20 to 40%. Why? Because they're putting AI on top of it. They got to push it down the page.”

      13 Mar 2025 · Upfront Ventures · 16:16 · source · permalink
    3. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner compares Biden's AI diffusion rule to hypothetically blocking Google exports in 2000.

      “Can you imagine if in the year 2,000, Washington DC had said, oh my god, Google is so powerful that we're not gonna allow any other country in the world to have access to this Google machine that might give them answers to questions unless Google comes to Washington and gets federal approval”

      22 May 2025 · BG2 Pod · 12:02 · source · permalink
    4. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says OpenAI reached 400 billion annual searches eight years faster than Google did.

      “I did I saw some analysis from my team this week will post that OpenAI reached, you know, 400,000,000,000 annual searches, eight years faster than Google.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 8:42 · source · permalink
    5. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says OpenAI reached 400 billion annual searches eight years faster than Google.

      “I saw some analysis from my team this week will post that OpenAI reached, you know, 400,000,000,000 annual searches, eight years faster than Google. Right? So they're doing over a billion searches a day now.”

      5 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 8:42 · source · permalink
    6. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says ChatGPT reached a billion searches daily eight years faster than Google did.

      “ChatGPT got to a billion searches a day. Eight years faster than Google did. Is not internet time. Is AI hyper speed. It is way faster.”

      12 Jun 2025 · CNBC Television · 3:27 · source · permalink
    7. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner states OpenAI is four times the size Google was at IPO in revenue and searches.

      “OpenAI today is four times the size that Google was when it went public in terms of revenue, in terms of searches.”

      12 Jun 2025 · CNBC Television · 3:42 · source · permalink
    8. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Google page views grow 4% annually per user before ChatGPT subscription adoption.

      “what you see on that chart is that absent ChatGDP, ChatGPT, maybe Google page views for a particular user are growing 4% per year.”

      20 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 19:10 · source · permalink
    9. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner's data shows Google page views grow 4% annually for users without ChatGPT subscriptions, contrasting with ChatGPT subscribers.

      “absent ChatGDP, ChatGPT, maybe Google page views for a particular user are growing 4% per year. So we are consuming more Google.”

      20 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 19:14 · source · permalink
    10. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner reports Google page views drop 8-11% peak to trough after users subscribe to ChatGPT.

      “And you can see peak to trough is down 8% year over year. Peak to trough is, let's say, down 11.”

      20 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 19:46 · source · permalink
    11. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner's analysis shows Google page views decline 8-11% year-over-year for users who subscribe to ChatGPT.

      “And you can see peak to trough is down 8% year over year. Peak to trough is, let's say, down 11. So clearly, page views are going down,”

      20 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 19:46 · source · permalink
    12. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner notes the world changed dramatically in 24 months, switching from Google to ChatGPT.

      “Sam's like the world has already changed dramatically over the course of last twenty four months, but people aren't, you know, it's not changed that much about our daily lives.”

      21 Jun 2025 · BG2 Pod · 14:41 · source · permalink
    13. Dylan Patel

      Patel reports Google is backing out of Scale AI, spending around $250 million this year but reducing future commitment.

      “Google's backing out, I think they're gonna spend on the order I've heard like $250,000,000 this year with them. And they're backing out.”

      30 Jun 2025 · Matthew Berman · 6:51 · source · permalink
    14. Dylan Patel

      Patel reports Google is spending $250 million with Scale AI this year but backing out of the partnership.

      “And they're backing out. Obviously, they've spent a lot of money and there's stuff they can't back out of, but it's like, that's gonna go down a lot.”

      30 Jun 2025 · Matthew Berman · 6:56 · source · permalink
    15. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues consumer ownership, not hardware, determines value; Google dominated for twenty years this way.

      “The battle for the consumer is ultimately where the value accrues, Sonny, not who runs, you know, what hardware.”

      31 Jul 2025 · BG2 Pod · 44:58 · source · permalink
    16. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner reports Google inference generation increased 100x in a year, from 9 trillion to 980 trillion tokens monthly.

      “A year ago, Google per month was doing about 9,000,000,000,000 tokens a month in terms of inference generation, right, compute generation. Today, it's 980,000,000,000,000 tokens.”

      28 Aug 2025 · CNBC Television · 2:19 · source · permalink
    17. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner says Google's monthly token generation exploded 100x in a year, from 9 trillion to 980 trillion tokens.

      “Today, it's 980,000,000,000,000 tokens. So from 9,000,000,000,000 to nine eighty, it's a 100 x increase in a year.”

      28 Aug 2025 · CNBC Television · 2:29 · source · permalink
    18. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner contrasts Google's unrestricted global expansion with current AI restrictions, wants same for AI companies.

      “They just went and competed around the world, and now the world runs on the democratic principles that are embedded within Google. I wanna see the same thing happen in the age of AI.”

      28 Aug 2025 · CNBC Television · 7:25 · source · permalink
    19. Chamath Palihapitiya

      Palihapitiya says the judge ruled against severe Google remedies because the free market is already reallocating billions in revenue.

      “As a byproduct, we're reallocating tens of... Maybe hundreds of billions of dollars of revenue. And so the judge said the most severe remedies aren't necessary because the free market is doing this job.”

      7 Sep 2025 · All-In Podcast · 59:38 · source · permalink
    20. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner recalls Gurley warning Zillow that relying on Google's free links was dangerous and they built brand independently.

      “Eventually Google will pull the rug on, you know, these free links. And so they really, unlike a lot of other websites, focus on building the brand outside of Google.”

      10 Sep 2025 · Khosla Ventures · 10:17 · source · permalink
    21. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner warns that requiring AI companies to get Washington approval for foreign launches would prevent American technology dominance.

      “Imagine in 2001, 2002, if we had said to Google, You can't launch in any other country unless you come to Washington and beg for a license to launch in any other country.”

      10 Sep 2025 · Khosla Ventures · 23:38 · source · permalink
    22. Dylan Patel

      Patel notes YouTube holds unique video data that gives Google training advantage despite scraping restrictions.

      “I don't know what ungodly percentage of video is only on available on YouTube. And sure, you can scrape YouTube, blah blah blah.”

      18 Sep 2025 · David Ondrej · 37:13 · source · permalink
    23. David Friedberg

      Friedberg left Google at 25 in 2005, walking away from stock worth a couple million dollars without full funding.

      “I left all my stock options on the table, all my RSUs I'd been given. It was worth a couple million dollars, and I was 25 years old back in 2005.”

      9 Oct 2025 · Venture Europe · 0:05 · source · permalink
    24. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner states Google consumed 98% of all upside in search despite 20 competitors with good technology.

      “Google had a lot of competitors. 20 competitors in search. They all have pretty good technologies, but Google consumed 98% of all the upside ever associated with search.”

      15 Oct 2025 · CNBC Television · 7:06 · source · permalink
    25. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner argues Google captured 98% of all upside in search despite having 20 competitors with good technology.

      “20 competitors in search. They all have pretty good technologies, but Google consumed 98% of all the upside ever associated with search.”

      15 Oct 2025 · CNBC Television · 7:08 · source · permalink
    26. Dylan Patel

      Patel says Google will make five to seven million TPU chips while Amazon targets three to five million.

      “They're going to make something like five to 7,000,000 chips, right? Of their own TPUs. You look at Amazon, they're trying to make three to 5,000,000.”

      12 Nov 2025 · Dwarkesh Patel · 1:04:09 · source · permalink
    27. David Friedberg

      Friedberg details Google's specific depreciation schedule changes from 2021 to 2023 for servers and networking equipment.

      “The chart shows the combination of servers and networking equipment. Separately, in 2021, Google took networking equipment from three to five years, and then in 2023, they took it from five to six years.”

      14 Nov 2025 · All-In Podcast · 6:17 · source · permalink
    28. Chamath Palihapitiya

      Palihapitiya says distribution matters most in AI markets, favoring Google and Meta despite Meta being behind.

      “And, ultimately, what we are learning, especially as all these markets converge, is that distribution still matters a ton, which favors Google. It favors Meta, although Meta's quite behind.”

      6 Dec 2025 · All-In Podcast · 2:56 · source · permalink
    29. Chamath Palihapitiya

      Palihapitiya says Google stock doubled on Gemini success, justifying $50 billion spend for trillion in market cap.

      “And so if you wanna make Gemini even more incredible, just get pour another billion users into it. And if that costs you 50,000,000,000, it's okay because you'll make a trillion of market cap.”

      6 Dec 2025 · All-In Podcast · 17:38 · source · permalink
    30. Gavin Baker

      Baker argues Google has a temporary pre-training advantage as the lowest cost producer of tokens using advanced TPUs.

      “So I think Google for sure has this temporary advantage right now from a pre training perspective. I think it's also important that they've been the lowest cost producer of tokens.”

      9 Dec 2025 · Invest Like the Best · 12:35 · source · permalink
    31. Gavin Baker

      Baker says AI is the first time in his career that being the low-cost producer matters in tech.

      “And this is really important because AI is the first time in my career as a tech investor that being the low cost producers ever matter.”

      9 Dec 2025 · Invest Like the Best · 12:47 · source · permalink
    32. Gavin Baker

      Baker explains Google pays Broadcom 50-55% gross margins for back-end TPU design and Taiwan Semi management.

      “I think part of that is, so Google, let's say the TPU, so there's front end and back end of semiconductor design, and then there's dealing with Taiwan Semi.”

      9 Dec 2025 · Invest Like the Best · 17:18 · source · permalink
    33. Gavin Baker

      Baker explains Google pays Broadcom a 50 to 55 percent gross margin for back-end chip design and Taiwan Semi management.

      “And the managing Taiwan Semi is like stamping out that house like Lennar or, you know, D. R. Horton. And for doing those two latter parts, Broadcom earns a 50 to 55% gross margin.”

      9 Dec 2025 · Invest Like the Best · 17:48 · source · permalink
    1. Brad Gerstner

      Gerstner predicts Google's TPU will not match NVIDIA Rubin's token efficiency despite advantages.

      “First, Google is a massive consumer of NVIDIA GPUs, Right? Not only for its own workloads, but also the workloads, you know, in Google Cloud.”

      7 Jan 2026 · Altimeter Capital · 6:30 · source · permalink
    2. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says his biggest career mistake was not pursuing Google when Larry and Sergei presented at 25 employees.

      “The there's a there's a notion in venture capital about asymmetric risks. So if you if you you know, the biggest mistake of my career is I had Larry and Sergei present to the partnership when there were 25 employees at Google and we failed to chase the deal.”

      26 Jan 2026 · Yahoo Finance · 4:43 · source · permalink
    3. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says missing Google at 25 employees was his biggest career mistake, not failed investments.

      “I had Larry and Sergei present to the partnership when there were 25 employees at Google and we failed to chase the deal.”

      26 Jan 2026 · Yahoo Finance · 4:51 · source · permalink
    4. Bill Gurley

      Gurley brought Larry and Sergey to Benchmark at 25 employees but the firm failed to invest in Google.

      “I had the, both the fortune and now the, the kind of weight of having brought Larry and Sergey in to present to our partnership when they were 25 employees.”

      12 Feb 2026 · Tetragrammaton with Rick Rubin · 4:50 · source · permalink
    5. Bill Gurley

      Gurley clarifies Google presented to Benchmark at 25 employees shortly after he joined the firm.

      “I had Larry and Sergei present to the Benchmark partnership shortly after I joined Benchmark with the company had 25 employees, Google.”

      25 Feb 2026 · Lux Capital · 47:15 · source · permalink
    6. David Friedberg

      Friedberg predicts Google will launch virtual Cowork competitor within 90 days and sweep the market with G Suite integration.

      “And once Google, like, has this integrated with G Suite and you have a virtual hosted version of Cowork, I think Google sweeps the market with the same competitor.”

      6 Mar 2026 · All-In Podcast · 1:04:40 · source · permalink
    7. Dylan Patel

      Patel predicts Google will eliminate its $100 billion annual cash flow next year by spending everything on AI infrastructure.

      “Google will have no cash flow next year because they're they see AI so clearly, and they know that they need to spend every dollar they make on compute,”

      9 Mar 2026 · Matthew Berman · 50:00 · source · permalink
    8. Dylan Patel

      Patel explains Google woke up to AI compute needs after Gemini models drove user growth.

      “Google had Nano Banana and Gemini three, which caused their user metrics to skyrocket, and leadership at Google was like, oh.”

      13 Mar 2026 · Dwarkesh Patel · 32:27 · source · permalink
    9. “They had 25 employees at the time, to tell you how early it was. And they presented and we failed to chase that.”

      13 Mar 2026 · Afford Anything Podcast · 42:21 · source · permalink
    10. Bill Gurley

      Gurley says he brought Larry and Sergei to his partnership but failed to chase the Google investment.

      “I met Larry and Sergei, was very early in my career, I brought them into the partnership and they presented and we failed to lay chase.”

      26 Mar 2026 · School of Hard Knocks Podcast · 17:38 · source · permalink
    11. “Well, biggest mistake I made in my career is when I was three years into the venture capital business, I met Larry and Sergey at their office with 25 employees.”

      21 Apr 2026 · Forbes · 12:45 · source · permalink
    12. Bill Gurley

      Gurley reveals he met Larry and Sergey when Google had 25 employees but Benchmark failed to invest.

      “I met Larry and Sergey at their office with 25 employees. They pitched Benchmark, and we failed to invest”

      21 Apr 2026 · Forbes · 12:51 · source · permalink
    13. Dylan Patel

      Patel predicts Google and OpenAI will both release new models in two weeks.

      “Release New release in two weeks. Everyone's releasing in two weeks. Google, OpenAI, maybe Anthropic. I don't know about Anthropic, but Google and open AI definitely releasing in two weeks.”

      6 May 2026 · SemiAnalysis Weekly · 13:17 · source · permalink
    14. Dylan Patel

      Patel reveals Google runs three separate TPU design programs with Broadcom, MediaTek, and undisclosed partner.

      “They're making a TPU with Broadcom, that's a different architecture than a TPU with MediaTek, that's a different TPU than the architecture that is, I won't disclose, by research.”

      30 Jun 2026 · Sequoia Capital · 49:27 · source · permalink
    15. Dylan Patel

      Patel explains NVLink connects only 72 GPUs while Google ICI connects 8,000 chips without switches, creating architectural trade-offs.

      “NVIDIA, the NVLink can only connect 72 GPUs. For Google, their ICI can connect 8,000 chips at super high bandwidth, but you have to pass through other chips to get there because there's no switch.”

      6 Jul 2026 · The AGI Post · 7:05 · source · permalink
    16. Dylan Patel

      Patel contrasts Nvidia's NVLink connecting 72 GPUs via switches versus Google's ICI connecting 8,000 chips without switches.

      “For Google, their ICI can connect 8,000 chips at super high bandwidth, but you have to pass through other chips to get there because there's no switch.”

      6 Jul 2026 · The AGI Post · 7:09 · source · permalink
    17. David Friedberg

      Friedberg states Google committed $200 billion in AI infrastructure CapEx this year, hugely tax advantaged due to accelerated depreciation.

      “Google has made a commitment to deploy $200,000,000,000 in CapEx this year in AI infrastructure data center build out.”

      8 Aug 2026 · All-In Podcast · 3:50 · source · permalink

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