Who is on this subjectordered by the date of their first quote here
7 of 13 lanes rest on fewer than 5 quotes and are marked thin. Offsets are days from the middle first-quote date, 25 Jul 2024 — a date, and nothing else. It is not a claim about who reached a view first.
- Sir Richard Dearlove 6 16 May 2016 – 13 Mar 2026 -2992 d
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David Friedberg
17
15 Mar 2020 – 18 Jul 2026
-1593 d
- David Sacks 2 thin 20 Jun 2020 – 20 Jun 2020 -1496 d
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Brad Gerstner
22
17 Apr 2021 – 6 Jul 2026
-1195 d
- Dylan Patel 3 thin 4 Oct 2023 – 9 Mar 2026 -295 d
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Bill Gurley
18
25 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2026
+0 d
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David Tepper
1
thin
26 Sep 2024 – 26 Sep 2024
+63 d
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Marc Rowan
3
thin
28 Jan 2025 – 21 Dec 2025
+187 d
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Howard Lutnick
3
thin
12 Mar 2025 – 11 May 2026
+230 d
- JD Vance 2 thin 24 Aug 2026 – 24 Aug 2026 +760 d
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Scott Bessent
14
24 Aug 2026 – 25 Aug 2026
+760 d
- John Williams 9
- Paul Atkins 1 thin
The chronologysourced and dated, oldest first
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Sir Richard Dearlove
Dearlove argues that closing borders to migration is impossible without removing the underlying causes driving it.
“Simply shutting the door on migration is not an option. History tells us that human tides are irresistible unless the gravitational pull that causes them is removed.”
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Sir Richard Dearlove
Dearlove argues Iraq invasion decision placed 100% weight on intelligence rather than normal 80% policy mix.
“So as it were, the intelligence beam had too much weight on it and it buckled.”
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Sir Richard Dearlove
Dearlove advised Blair not to dissolve Iraqi army and Ba'ath structures but Blair did not follow advice.
“And my advice to Blair, which he didn't follow, because I'm not a policy guy, but I said, look, what we should have because bits of the Iraqi army were not particularly contaminated by Saddam Hussein.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg says the US missed the boat on IgG and IgM antibody tests to know who has been infected.
“But what we really have missed the boat on, and we're still missing the boat on, is knowing who's been infected and to what extent this thing has actually spread already.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues IgG/IgM tests should have been prioritized because they work like pregnancy kits, unlike expensive PCR tests.
“You should still have the PCR tests, but they're expensive and they take a long time to run and they require chemical labs and all this stuff.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues remdesivir should be widely available without compassionate use filing since there's no mortality from taking it.
“Remdesivir should be broadly and widely available right now. People shouldn't have to file for compassionate use to get it.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg says hospitals never became overwhelmed yet lockdowns continue, and those wanting to end lockdowns refuse to take other precautions.
“Well, nowhere in the country did the hospitals get overwhelmed and we're still in these lockdowns. And so, you know, I think that it's long overdue for it to end.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg advocates ending lockdowns while wearing masks, a position he says neither political side supports.
“where I come out on this thing is that I think we should end lockdowns but wear masks, and it's very hard to find anybody, you know, in the political spectrum who agrees with that because, you know, one side wants to keep lockdowns going indefinitely and the other doesn't want us to wear masks.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues widespread mask use alone is sufficient to stop exponential viral spread, citing Asian countries and Czechoslovakia.
“We've seen in the Asian countries or Czechoslovakia, other places, they've been able to get the so called R naught,”
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David Sacks
Sacks cites Japan, South Korea, and Czech Republic as proof that mask-wearing controls COVID.
“South Korea, fifty one million people under three hundred deaths. You take a a Western European nation like Czech Republic, they had a huge COVID outbreak, a spike just like the rest of Europe.”
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David Sacks
Sacks cites research showing unionized police departments have more complaints and use of force issues.
“Bill Gurley has been tweeting a lot of great research that around police departments that are unionized, there's a lot more complaints against them.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues police have been mistakenly armed like the military for decades, citing example of departments receiving armored vehicles.
“Look, we've been arming our police force mistakenly like our military. And we've been doing it for decades now and it makes no sense.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg advocates ending qualified immunity and demilitarizing police training and equipment.
“I'm a huge fan of ending qualified immunity. I think that doesn't make any sense. I think we have to stop arming our police like their military.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner proposes putting up $10-15 million to incubate Invest America accounts directly instead of lobbying.
“I don't wanna go spend 10,000,000 in Washington to lobby them to create the Invest America account. Let's you and I put up the money. Let's incubate this.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues private enterprises can allocate capital faster and smarter than government funding sources.
“I think it's about, you know, we we can aggregate more money through a central source, some federal grants or or what have you.”
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Dylan Patel
Patel argues export restrictions clearly failed because China manufactured advanced Huawei chip demonstrating broader capabilities.
“The export restrictions have clearly failed because China is still able to manufacture. And what's surprising about the chip that Huawei did is, you know, it's a phone chip.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner calculates that Invest America started thirty years ago would give 29-year-olds $250,000 today.
“If we had started this thirty years ago, a 29 year old today would have over $250,000 in their Invest America account.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner proposes federal government seed $1,000 S&P 500 accounts for all newborns since 70% never benefit from investment.
“Seed it with $1,000 in the S and P 500 because today, 70% of families and kids will never benefit from savings or investment, right?”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner proposes federal government seed $1,000 S&P 500 accounts for 3.7 million children born annually.
“This idea is a bipartisan piece of legislation where the federal government will seed a private investment account for every child born in America. So think about this. 3,700,000 children born a year.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner proposes seeding 3.7 million accounts annually with $1,000 each, costing $3.7 billion yearly.
“This legislation will cause the Treasury Department to set up 3,700,000 private accounts. Those private accounts will be seeded with $1,000 from the federal government.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley argues taxing unrealized capital gains would undermine entrepreneurial incentives and is nearly impossible to implement.
“this crazy idea to tax unrealized capital gains and how that in and of itself is not only almost impossible to implement, but also would undermine the very incentive that entrepreneurs have to go create businesses.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley says Silicon Valley's political shift is about entrepreneurship policy, not personal tax rates.
“Right? I do hear things around key policy areas that impact entrepreneurship that people care deeply about.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner argues US can address nuclear cost problems through regulatory consolidation and clustered reactor construction.
“It seems to me the first two, right, we can tackle, right? You can consolidate the regulatory environment in The United States so that you reduce the time to bring one of these things online and I also think that if you clustered some of these, if we wanted to get back to building more of these reactors”
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David Tepper
Tepper emphasizes that China's commitment to do more is very strange language especially for Chinese central bankers.
“Now the Chinese to say we'll do more and more if needed, they don't say that because it's not been healthy to say those sort of things in China.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner proposes every child born gets a $1000 Invest America account in S&P 500.
“So every child born, 3,700,000 children born in this country a year, they all get a thousand dollar investment account invested in the S and P 500.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley argues blocking technology exports to China is not working and US needs to face reality.
“And I don't think blocking ASML or blocking AI technology or blocking anything is working. It's just not working.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner describes Invest America as creating 3.7M annual investment accounts for newborns with corporate contributions from Uber, Dell, Oracle, Nvidia.
“So the idea is that the federal government would cause to be created 3,700,000 investment accounts a year for every child that's born in America.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner argues regulatory burdens keep companies private longer, harming retail investors.
“I think we're better off as a country when these companies are coming public sooner. But that's that's in fact what's happened. So we invest early.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg notes Chevron doctrine overturn removes agencies' authority to impose regulatory rules without congressional mandate.
“And the Chevron doctrine basically allowed agencies vested agencies authority to make regulatory, rules that can then be imposed legally, statutorily.”
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Marc Rowan
Rowan proposes merit-based admissions and hiring that allows consideration of socioeconomic status but not identity categories.
“In admissions and in faculty hiring, no consideration of race, ethnicity, gender, sexual orientation, political viewpoint, religious viewpoint, otherwise. Merit. That does not mean you cannot hire the best basketball team.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner suggests Trump believes America peaked during 1880s high-tariff era before income tax replaced tariff revenue.
“So prior to 1910, which is when we got the income tax, right, the vast majority,”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner argues sovereign wealth fund must clear 5% hurdle rate given $40 trillion debt at 5% cost.
“So we're a debtor nation, and we're paying 5% on all that debt. So the hurdle rate to our return that is needed on the sovereign wealth fund, right, is 5%.”
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Howard Lutnick
Lutnick reveals Trump's goal is no income tax for anyone making under $150,000 a year.
“I know what his goal is. No tax for anybody who makes less than a $150,000 a year. That's his goal. So you And that's what I'm working for.”
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Dylan Patel
Patel argues $52 billion Chips Act is insufficient to restore US to even 20% of global semiconductor production.
“S. To even 20% of global production, let alone a higher number, which is what we'd like, going back to maybe the 80s levels, right?”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner says 70% of Americans lack compounding accounts and proposes $1,000 at birth in private federal accounts.
“We need to get them into the game. So it's a thousand dollars at birth, seeded by the, the federal government, but private accounts.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg reports every DC conversation at Hill and Valley forum was about AI energy demand nobody realizes.
“We just got back from DC. There is this hill and valley forum this week. Every single speech, every single talk, every conversation in the hallways was all about the energy demand coming from AI.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley warns bringing manufacturing jobs back may be futile as automation eliminates those positions.
“Like, if you wanna bring the jobs back there by the time you get the jobs back, there may not be any jobs. Like like, at one Because of automation.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley finds only four of 24 members on China committee have visited China, last time seven years ago.
“And I think all but four have never been to China. Right. And the ones that went, it was seven years ago.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley argues bringing manufacturing jobs back may be futile because automation will eliminate them anyway.
“Like, if you wanna bring the jobs back there by the time you get the jobs back, there may not be any jobs. Like like at one Because of automation.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley reports BYD executive challenged him to find government subsidies in their public company financials.
“We're we're a public company. Come show me the money I'm getting from the government. She's like, say, I'm getting nothing.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley finds only four of twenty-four CCP select committee members have visited China within seven years.
“I did a deep dive on on your favorite product chat, GBT, $300 version deep research, and on the 24 members of the select committee for the CCP.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley says research shows all but four members of the CCP select committee have never been to China.
“And I think all but four have never been to China. Right. And the ones that went, it was seven years ago.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner proposes giving every newborn a $1,000 S&P 500 account with corporate contributions from major companies.
“You start every child at birth, 3,700,000 kids with $1,000 investment account in the S and P 500. It's a four zero one ks from birth.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner says his Invest America proposal was included in reconciliation bill after three-year fight.
“I fought for this for three years. We just got it included in the reconciliation bill. The House lost their mind, some freedom caucusers and tried to rename it MAGA accounts.”
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Sir Richard Dearlove
Dearlove cites Australia as an example of handling China firmly despite intense commercial ties.
“And the Australian government have shown everybody that they can be very tough when they feel that their national security has been threatened by China, which it has on a number of occasions.”
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Marc Rowan
Rowan argues governments are borrowing record amounts while fragmenting labor and goods flows through immigration and tariff policies.
“We have governments around the world who are borrowing record amounts of money. We are, for maybe good and valid reasons, fractionalizing our labor supply through immigration reform.”
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Marc Rowan
Rowan says governments are borrowing record amounts while fracturing labor and goods flows through immigration and tariff policies.
“We have governments around the world who are borrowing record amounts of money. We are, for maybe good and valid reasons, fractionalizing our labor supply through immigration reform.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner predicts 60 million Invest America accounts will be created by June, calling it a massive change.
“60,000,000 accounts created this year by June. Invest America Trump accounts are gonna change the game. It's gonna be a massive change for this country.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues leaders must synthesize multiple data streams rather than listen only to single-issue safety commissioners.
“But thinking through the second and third order effects of what would happen to kids if you kept them out of school for six months, what would happen to the economy if you shut down businesses.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner announces that starting July 4, 2026, every child born will receive a thousand-dollar investment account at birth.
“In 2026, this year on July 4, every child born forevermore, think about that, forevermore. This is the magnitude of Social Security.”
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“The president said last week, twenty years from now, there will be a 100,000,000 kids and families that have 3 to 4,000,000,000,000 in wealth that would have otherwise had zero because they start off with a thousand dollars, and we add money to those accounts.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley argues regulation most often protects incumbents rather than constraining them, contrary to public perception.
“And so companies get big, they spend money lobbying, they spend time in Washington and they get laws written to help them rather than to constrain them.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley plans to study countries with less regulatory capture to understand their policies for his new institute.
“Want to, and this will be part of my new thing. I want to go study countries that have less of it and try and understand the policies.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley notes committee members fundraise across jurisdictions, which he finds inappropriate.
“One thing that's really amazing that most Americans probably don't realize is once your senator or congressman goes on a committee, they start fundraising in other jurisdictions.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley states capitalism and democracy corrupt each other over time as they commingle.
“I made up this statement once that capitalism and democracy corrupt each other over time. Like at the starting state, everything's fine.”
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Dylan Patel
Patel criticizes Dario's response to hypothetical nuclear scenario as inadequate for government AI policy discussions.
“If a nuclear missile's heading from China to America and we can use AI to stop it, but it requires surveillance and autonomous weapons, what do we do?”
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“I mean, the huge mistake that Bremer made in Iraq on which we were not consulted, I was chief at the time, was to disband the Iraqi military.”
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Sir Richard Dearlove
Dearlove reveals 400 Iraqi officers lost pensions when disbanding order came mid-meeting about governance.
“He said to me last week, couple of weeks ago, that he was actually in a hangar in Baghdad talking to 400 senior Iraqi officers about running the country when the order came through to disband the army, and they all lost their pensions at the same time.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg notes California ballot measure for 5% wealth tax on billionaires with legislative power to lower threshold.
“Well, it's it's on the ballot now in California to pass a wealth tax, and it starts as a one time 5% tax for billionaires, but it gives the legislature in California the ability to lower the threshold”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg asks how to fix agriculture so farmers can earn a living without government checks.
“Do think we have a path to fixing agriculture in this country? And how do we get farmers back on track where they can earn a living without requiring checks from the government?”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley credits Pinker and others with shifting public perception on nuclear energy from negative to positive.
“Like like, the the the world has vilified this technology. It's amazing technology. It's clean technology.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley credits Pinker, Musk, and others for shifting nuclear energy perception from vilified to positive five years ago.
“Like like, the the the world has vilified this technology. It's amazing technology. It's clean technology. What Germany is doing is bad.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg states that 80 billion of California's 100 billion in new tax revenue went to public pensions, not schools.
“Not a big chunk, but I've done my part. And 80,000,000,000 of that went to increase and it was supposed to go to increasing schools and, like, health care services.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg estimates nearly half the US population receives government paychecks, pensions, or welfare benefits.
“Today, if you add up federal, state, local government employees, plus all the contractors for the government, plus all the people that live off of a retirement check or or a welfare support check, so all the people that are living off government checks, it's about nearly half The US population.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley says Austin, one of the fastest growing cities, has seen rents fall for four years due to good policy.
“One of the fastest growing cities in the nation, rents have fallen for four years. That's good policy.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner announces Invest America accounts launching July 4th with automatic $1,000 for every newborn.
“Starting in, on July 4, just sixty days from today, every child forevermore born in America will start off with an investment account at birth, automatic, stapled to their Social Security with a thousand dollars in the S and P 500.”
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Howard Lutnick
Lutnick commits to using the best and most precise data for decisions affecting lobstermen.
“We promise you that we will use the best data and the most precise data to make sure that our decisions are right for America, and they need to be right for the lobstermen of Maine.”
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Howard Lutnick
Lutnick commits Commerce will never pick just one winner in technology solutions.
“That is an easy commitment for us. We will never pick just one winner. That that makes no sense for America.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner cites research showing children with savings have better educational, economic, and incarceration outcomes.
“And we know when kids have savings, when they have investment, they're more likely to graduate from high school and college. They're more likely to buy a home.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner announces that starting Saturday, every American child born will receive a $1,000 S&P 500 account at birth.
“The idea that starting this Saturday, every child born forevermore forevermore in the history of America will get an investment account at birth, seeded with a thousand dollars in the S and P 500 that will compound for their lifetime.”
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Brad Gerstner
Gerstner opposes any government seizure of company equity regardless of party, calling it unconstitutional and un-American.
“You pick the number. I don't care who's suggesting it. I don't care if a Republican suggesting it. I don't care if a Democrat's suggesting it.”
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“Every child forevermore born into this country under the age of two is gonna get a thousand dollars invested in the S and P 500 that can compound for their lifetime.”
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David Friedberg
Friedberg argues California's AI legislation failed because government rules couldn't keep pace with technology, unlike self-regulatory organizations.
“But fast forward a year, none of those kind of rules and requirements actually map to the technology of the day.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley says people elect officials based on intentions without tracking whether they create actual change.
“And I think we elect a lot of people because we like what they're saying, but no one follows up to see if they can actually create change.”
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Bill Gurley
Gurley suggests highlighting state versus state competition in US modeled on China's provincial competition.
“I'm I'm enamored by the provincial competition in China, and I wonder if shining a brighter light on state versus state competition could lead to some pretty amazing and positive things for our own country.”
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JD Vance
Vance says Trump administration invests $1,000 in every newborn through Trump accounts.
“We have invested a thousand dollars in every new baby born in The United States Of America, thanks to Trump accounts, which we're very proud of.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent declares zero breathing space policy to prevent Iran from rebuilding terror capacity.
“There will be no minimal breathing space for the regime to rebuild its capacity to inflict terror against America and the world.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent says Treasury is giving a cure period but will move very quickly if expectations are not met.
“We believe that it is important to level set and give people a cure period, but they should know that that will move very quickly and that we are serious.”
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JD Vance
Vance directly attributes Maine overdose decline to border sealing policy.
“We sealed the border, and that's what happened, my friends, and that's why we did it.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent declares that buying appeasement from Iran will no longer work with the United States.
“And on the other side, with this regime, trying to buy appeasement will no longer work in the eyes of The United States Of America.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent announces Treasury will double buyback operation sizes from $2 billion to at least $4 billion starting September 9, 2026.
“The current maximum size of $2 billion per operation will be at least $4 billion per operation.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent says Treasury is relentlessly targeting narcoterrorist networks profiting from poisoning Americans under Trump's leadership.
““Under President Trump’s leadership, Treasury is relentlessly targeting the narcoterrorist networks that profit from poisoning Americans,” said Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent .”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent argues taxpayers should not fund benefits for those legally barred from receiving them.
““American taxpayers should not be forced to foot the bill for benefits going to those who are barred by law from receiving them.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent warns far-left extremists Treasury will use full economic tools against them.
““Far-left extremists, their fronts, and their enablers should be on notice: We will bring the full weight of our economic tools to bear,””
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Scott Bessent
Bessent says the regulations end abuse, protect tax system integrity, and prioritize Americans.
“These proposed regulations end the abuse, protect the integrity of the tax system, and put Americans first.””
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Scott Bessent
Bessent says Trump took action predecessors deferred and America is no longer managing the Iranian threat.
““President Trump has taken action that his predecessors have long deferred. Under his leadership, America is no longer managing the Iranian threat.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent says Trump is ending Iran threat rather than managing it like predecessors.
““President Trump has taken action that his predecessors have long deferred. Under his leadership, America is no longer managing the Iranian threat. We are ending it.”
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Paul Atkins
Atkins says SEC is considering combining IIB and SIFMA relief requests into single order.
“the Commission is evaluating potential paths forward on both Notices, including an approach that would address—in a single Commission order—the relief requested in the IIB Notice and the relief requested in the SIFMA Notice concerning the outward facing condition.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent pledges to cut financial lifelines of political terrorist groups until eliminated.
““Political terrorism has no place in our society, and we will continue to cut the financial lifelines of these groups until they are eliminated.””
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Scott Bessent
Bessent says Trump is ending the Iranian threat, not merely managing it.
“And under his leadership, America is no longer managing the Iranian threat. We are ending it.”
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John Williams
Williams confirms the FOMC ended balance sheet runoff effective December 1.
“the Committee made that decision at its October meeting, with portfolio runoff ending effective December 1.”
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Scott Bessent
Treasury states transitioning to post-quantum cryptography is essential to protecting U.S. economic security.
“Transitioning to post-quantum cryptography is essential to protecting U.S. economic security and strengthening the resilience of the financial system.”
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Scott Bessent
Bessent announces a zero-leakage sanctions approach with no breathing space for Iran to rebuild.
“We are enforcing a zero-leakage approach. There will be no minimal breathing space for the regime to rebuild its capacity to inflict terror against America and the world.”
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John Williams
Williams argues central banks should support economic historians because they can efficiently provide complementary research inputs.
“This observation to me provides a compelling reason for why a central bank Research Group should support economic historians.”
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John Williams
Williams says regular engagement helps central banks fine-tune approaches by learning from each other's experiences.
“I’ve found that regular engagement allows central banks to fine-tune their individual approaches, so that we can learn from one another’s experiences to better meet the needs of our constituencies.”
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John Williams
Williams says average effective tariff rate estimates range between 15 and 20 percent.
“Combining enacted and announced tariffs, estimates of the resulting average effective tariff rate range somewhere between 15 and 20 percent.”
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John Williams
Williams reports the FOMC held the federal funds rate at 3.5 to 3.75 percent.
“Accordingly, at its meeting last week, the FOMC decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent.”
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John Williams
Williams argues gradual recognition of productivity shifts causes both consumption and investment to grow with delayed interest rate increases.
“With gradual recognition consistent with empirical evidence, an acceleration in productivity results in faster growth of both consumption and investment.”
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John Williams
Williams announces FOMC will end balance sheet runoff on December 1.
“At its meeting last week, the FOMC decided it would conclude the reduction of its aggregate securities holdings on December 1.”
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John Williams
Williams says the Committee will consider stopping runoff when reserves reach ample levels.
“The Committee has indicated that it will consider stopping balance sheet runoff when we reach that point.”
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John Williams
Williams suggests centrally clearing standing repo operations could improve participation and efficacy, noting other central banks moving this way.
“Centrally clearing SRPs would be one way to reduce such cost and thus could further improve counterparty participation and the efficacy of SRPs in curbing rate pressures and maintaining the stability of funding markets.”
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Where they overlapsame programme, same subject
- Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner — BG2 Pod, 1 appearance together
- All-In Podcast also carries Brad Gerstner, David Friedberg and David Sacks on this subject, at different times.
- Forbes Breaking News also carries Howard Lutnick, JD Vance and Scott Bessent on this subject, at different times.
- CNBC Television also carries Brad Gerstner and David Tepper on this subject, at different times.