Tepper says one or two more rate cuts won't be too easy, but beyond that risks repeating the 2000-2001 crash.
“I don't think another ease matters, you know, as far as being too easy. This is gonna be a little bit restrictive.”
Tepper calls 25% or 50% tariffs destructive, drawing a line above 10% levels.
“I don't love the the 25% or the 50% tariffs. I think they're a little bit destructive.”
Tepper believes stock market may have hit its yearly high due to interest rates around 3%.
“And it really has to do with interest rates. I'm not sure we're right on the cusp of breaking out on interest rates at this level, around 3%.”
Tepper sees nothing negative for small businesses with deregulation and tax cuts ahead.
“If you're a small business, you there's nothing negative on the horizon. Nothing. What's negative? They're gonna give you less regulations for Obamacare. They're gonna give you a tax cut.”
Tepper projects long-run growth could be 0.25-0.5% higher with deregulation, 3.5% in 2017-18.
“I'm saying I think the long run with in a deregulatory could be a quarter half point higher.”
Tepper says the Fed's 1% real rate target is dead wrong if tax cuts happen and French election goes well.
“It's not wrong if there's no tax cuts necessarily. Certainly, if the French election goes the wrong way, not wrong. Not wrong. But it's gonna be dead freaking wrong.”
Tepper warns markets must prepare for Fed hikes in June, September, December and possibly more.
“You're gonna bet against these tax things. You're gonna bet against the French election. You better be you better be ready, and the market has to get ready for June increase Yeah.”
Tepper says three more hikes this year is more likely than two, questions if fourth should be priced.
“So I'm sure that the Fed funds odds are going up as we're speaking, and there's a better chance that they'll go three times more this year than two times more this year.”
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“Some days I say it's really cheap. I should buy more. And some days I don't know why the heck I look at”