Baker argues reasoning saved AI by enabling progress during an 18-month gap when Blackwell delays would have halted everything.
“Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three. There would have been none. Everything would have stalled.”
Baker argues reasoning models saved AI by bridging an eighteen-month gap while Blackwell was delayed.
“Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three. There would have been none.”
Baker argues reasoning models saved AI from an eighteen-month progress gap during Blackwell delays.
“Had reasoning not come along, there would have been no AI progress from mid twenty twenty four through essentially Gemini three.”
Baker says ARC AGI scores jumped from 8% to 95% in three months with reasoning models.
“The reason we've had all this progress, maybe we could show like the ARC AGI slide where you had zero to eight over four years, zero to 8% intelligence, and then you went from 8% to 95% in three months when the first reasoning model came out from OpenAI.”
Baker notes Grok 4.5 was the best frontier model in testing
“Also happy to see that that Grok 4.5 was the best frontier model in their testing. https://t.co/l2fQNJA9PM”
Baker predicts AI capabilities will be far better than expected in two years and companies will not slow spending.
“way better than you think in two years. So just no chance they're taking their foot off the gas.”