Gerstner says SpaceX moved to $27 billion AI hyperscaler revenue in six weeks with Anthropic and Google deals.
“In literally six weeks, they went from not in the game to $27,000,000,000 of AI hyperscaler revenue with big deals Google? With big deals from Anthropic and Google.”
Gerstner argues AI must generate $1 trillion revenue to justify current CapEx versus $400 billion for all software.
“then you've gotta earn about a trillion dollars of AI revenue for all of this CapEx to be worth it.”
Gerstner reports Altman disclosed OpenAI is doing more than $13 billion in revenue.
“Sam came on the podcast. He was a little bit feisty. And he said, listen. We're doing more than 13,000,000,000 in revenue.”
Gerstner calculates OpenAI's rumored $150 billion valuation represents 15 times forward revenue of roughly $10 billion.
“If that trajectory were to continue, right, that'd give you like roughly $10,000,000,000 next year. And the round's rumored to be at $150,000,000,000 so that's about 15 times forward revenue.”
Gerstner explains that ARR (annual recurring revenue) gets high multiples because it's predictable like cable subscriptions.
“ARR stands for annual recurring revenue. And recurring revenue, like a monopoly cable subscription, gets a really high multiple. That's why softwares have gotten high multiples. They're very predictable.”
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