Friedberg calculates Italy's mortality as 30x worse due to combined effects of older population, higher smoking, and fewer ICU beds.
“And that's a nonlinear relationship because as soon as you max out on ICU beds or critical care beds, boom, you're over the abyss, and everyone starts to die.”
Friedberg calculates Italy's 30x worse coronavirus impact from compounding factors: 2x older population, 50% more smoking, one-third the ICU beds.
“So 20 x the impact. They're they they smoke about 50% more, so call it 30 x, and they have a third the number of beds.”